Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 02.14.2012
Metals started off the week with slight changes as gold moderately declined and silver slightly rose. Moody's will cut the credit ratings of six EU countries. It might cut in the future the rating of France, UK and Austria. . Greece has passed its austerity plan in its parliament. The markets seem confident Greece will now receive the next bailout package. Today, the following financial reports will come out: Great Britain CPI, U.S. Retail Sales and German ZEW economic sentiment.
Gold nearly didn't move yesterday as it slightly declined by 0.02% to $1,724.9; silver on the other hand slightly increased by 0.35% to $33.72.
During February, gold declined by 0.89% while silver rose by 1.38%. The Euro/USD also nearly didn't shift during yesterday's trading. It ended up declining by 0.08% to 1.3186. During February Euro/USD rose by 0.79%; on the other hand during yesterday's trading, other currencies such as CAD and AUD slightly appreciated against the USD. If the Euro and AUD will trade down today, it could indicate that metals will follow and also fall.
On Today's Agenda
U.S. Retail Sales: this report will present the changes in the retail sales and food services during January; in the recent report, the retail sales slightly increased by 0.1% (see here my review of the recent report).
German ZEW economic sentiment: The upcoming publication will refer to the ZEW indicator of economic sentiment for Germany for February. For January 2012 the ZEW indicator for Germany increased to -21.6 (see here the recent report);
Outlook and Analysis
Gold and silver continue to shift from gains to losses with no clear path as they have been doing during most of February. The ongoing development from Greece and recent announcement of Moody's might adversely affect the Euro and thus may also trade down gold and silver during the day. The financial reports to be published today (listed above) might also affect the commodities markets.
For further reading:
By: Lior Cohen, M.A. in Economics, Commodities Analyst and Blogger at Trading NRG
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