News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇹🇭 Balance of Trade (MAY) Actual: $0.8B Expected: $0.78B Previous: $0.18B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-24
  • Greed is a natural human emotion that affects individuals to varying degrees. Unfortunately, when viewed in the context of trading, greed has proven to be a hindrance more often than it has assisted traders. Learn how to control greed in trading here: https://t.co/kODPAfJE79 https://t.co/m9l7cndOc8
  • Heads Up:🇹🇭 Balance of Trade (MAY) due at 03:30 GMT (15min) Actual: $0.8B Expected: $0.78B Previous: $0.18B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-24
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.07% Silver: -0.02% Gold: -0.16% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/LYRFfkZeeX
  • Use this technical analysis pattern recognition skills test to sharpen your knowledge: https://t.co/Qgz89PTxnu https://t.co/Q8YRwGv3mA
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.04% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.00% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.01% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.02% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.02% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.08% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/8UV5kohKTL
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 90.06%, while traders in GBP/JPY are at opposite extremes with 73.15%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/M47Dqej67q
  • The US Dollar may gain versus ASEAN currencies like the Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht and Philippine Peso after the Fed projected 2 rate hikes by the end of 2023. All eyes on US PCE data. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/LaLVW8FFHI https://t.co/BonfAZM5o8
  • S&P 500 Retreats as Investors Mull Tapering, Hang Seng and ASX 200 May Fall https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/06/24/SP-500-Retreats-as-Investors-Mull-Tapering-Hang-Seng-and-ASX-200-May-Fall.html https://t.co/vv1dpIZSBU
  • Increased rate bets following June's FOMC rate decision roiled markets, including commodities. Crude oil received a boost on Iran's election, while gold and copper look to incoming inflation data out of the US. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/iGAO4dasIU https://t.co/gpx3AWiTmX
Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: BoC Holds, USD/CAD Rallies

Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: BoC Holds, USD/CAD Rallies

James Stanley, Senior Strategist

Canadian Dollar Talking Points:

Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady

The Canadian Dollar has been on the move so far in Q4. And when coupled with a weak US Dollar as the US currency began to reverse in the opening days of the fourth quarter, a strong trend had developed in USD/CAD that pushed the pair very near yearly lows.

At today’s Bank of Canada rate decision, the BoC held rates as was widely-expected. CAD weakness did show up on the back of the statement, however, as the Bank of Canada has grown more cautious around global growth. Taken from this morning’s statement, ‘Growth in Canada is expected to slow in the second half of this year to a rate below its potential.’ The full statement can be read here: Bank of Canada October Interest Rate Decision.

Coming into this week, USD/CAD was sticking to a bearish trend that had pushed the pair down to fresh three-month-lows, with buyers finally stepping in ahead of the July swing sitting just above the 1.3000 psychological level. As looked at in yesterday’s webinar, a pullback to find resistance around prior support, taken from the 1.3132 Fibonacci level, could soon re-open the door for bearish trend strategies, looking for that eventual re-test of the 1.3000 handle.

USD/CAD Four-Hour Price Chart

usdcad usd/cad four hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; USDCAD on Tradingview

As looked at last week, USD/CAD was nearing a big area of confluent support. And while it took a couple of days for buyers to respond, the fact remains that continuation could still show in that theme after USD/CAD has clawed back a portion of those prior losses.

USD/CAD Daily Price Chart

usdcad usd/cad daily price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; USDCAD on Tradingview

This leads into a widely-expected rate cut from the FOMC later today. Markets are pricing in a greater than 95% chance of another rate cut from the Fed but, as has become usual, the big focus will be on what the bank alludes to for near-future monetary conditions. If the FOMC takes on a similar tone of stability as what was shown over the prior two cuts, USD-strength may stick around for a bit as shorts cover. This could further push USD/CAD up to resistance levels around the 1.3200 handle.

In each potential instance, rallies could be attractive for fades, looking for an eventual re-test of the 1.3000 handle at fresh yearly lows, targeting bearish breakout potential.

USD/CAD Two-Hour Price Chart

usdcad usd/cad two hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; USDCAD on Tradingview

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you’re looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we’re looking at what we’re looking at.

If you’re looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES