We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The #Dow Jones and #Nasdaq 100 will await key earnings from some of the world’s largest manufacturers and tech companies while the #DAX grapples with freshly-imposed tariffs. Get your equities market update from @PeterHanksFX Here: https://t.co/u2lG19JFt3 https://t.co/OHs4rQEH7T
  • Crude #oil prices are consolidating above a key support zone we’ve been tracking for more-than three months now. Get your market update from @MBForex here: https://t.co/XaACvEpLG4 #OOTT https://t.co/XjmjUt4Par
  • Why trade with Bollinger Bands®? Find out as a day trader, how you can use it to your advantage:https://t.co/dwODDDSsFi @WVenketas https://t.co/SYduJ5k9mL
  • As the global economy continues to contract, the risk of geopolitical threats undermining financial and economic stability are rising, leaving the door open to violent volatility. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/2HEzqPobvA https://t.co/k13SwJmbRm
  • RT @IGSquawk: We're currently pricing #GBPUSD at 1.2852 and #FTSE at 7129.2 That's a drop of 1.18% from Fridays close for GBPUSD and 0.22%…
  • #DidYouKnow a #Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/c51s3IBcEu https://t.co/K6W9X4v8XD
  • The $NZD may be carving out a near-term bottom against its US counterpart but scope for gains seems limited within a broader downtrend. Get your technical analysis from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/7bsVuSyWMn https://t.co/DsmNYKk8v3
  • Can you trade with the joy of missing out (#JOMO)? Find out how you can turn your #FOMOintrading to JOMO here: https://t.co/G5H26NXZQe https://t.co/pVdKUPzvmk
  • RT @PaulBrandITV: It’s likely that this will end up in court on Monday. The case in the Scottish courts may well consider that this doesn’t…
  • RT @PaulBrandITV: BREAKING: Tonight the PM has sent this letter to EU requesting an extension to Brexit. Wording is copied and pasted from…
AUDUSD Poised for Employment Data

AUDUSD Poised for Employment Data

2012-07-11 09:00:00
Walker England, Trading Instructor,
Share:

One of the most awaited events on the economic calendar this week is the release of the unemployment numbers in Australia. While the event is not traditionally as volatile as NFP, these numbers are significant, and can give a trader insight into the strength of the Australian economy. As well, policy makers at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be using this information to make future policy decisions.

Below you will see a chart displaying the historic unemployment rate out of Australia. This month, expectations are set for the creation of no net new jobs with the economy displaying an unemployment rate of 5.2%.

AUDUSD_Poised_for_Employment_Data_body_Australia_Unemployment_Rate.png, AUDUSD Poised for Employment Data

Below we can see another chart, this time graphing Australia’s benchmark interest rates. This rate is set by the central monetary authority and can be used to heat up or slow down the Aussie economy. Through 2012 the RBA has taken expansionary measures lowering this rate down to its current levels at 3.50%. If unemployment increases more than expected, this may signal another potential round of rate decreases through the RBA.

Ultimately with expectations of a rate cut, it would be expected that the Aussie currency would decrease in value. To learn more, let’s take a look at how this policy has affected price for 2012.

AUDUSD_Poised_for_Employment_Data_body_Australia_Interest_Rate.png, AUDUSD Poised for Employment Data

Below we can see current price action on an AUDUSD daily chart and can better see the pairs decline. Since the RBA began lowering rates the pair has decreased as much as 1275 pips from its 2012 high residing at 1.0855. Over the past month however price has been rallying, with a line of support being held near 1.0150. Upon a negative outcome of employment numbers, traders should watch this point for a potential breakout. With the formation of lower lows, it is expected that the AUDUSD downtrend may begin again with the potential to challenge previous lows set at .9580 on June 1st.

AUDUSD_Poised_for_Employment_Data_body_Picture_1.png, AUDUSD Poised for Employment Data

My preference is to set an entry to sell the AUDUSD under 1.0150. Stops should be placed above resistance near 1.0250. Using a minimum 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio primary limits can be set at .9950 or better.

Alternative scenarios include price bouncing off support to a higher high.

---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor

To contact Walker, emailinstructor@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to instructor@dailyfx.com

DailyFX providesforex newson the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learncurrency tradingwith a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.