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The CCI MoMo Trade

The CCI MoMo Trade

2011-07-07 01:34:00
James B. Stanley,
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The CCI ‘MoMo’ Trade

One of the most common questions that we receive as Trading Educators is: “What indicator should I use?”

Many traders are under the belief that the secret to profits lies in the indicators used. Don’t worry – I also harbored that belief when I first found this beautiful art of speculation. Through trials, tribulations, and draw-downs, I learned that indicators were just that – a simple indication. They didn’t tell me much more than price already did, and they definitely did not provide a ‘crutch,’ on my way to trading profitably. But when used effectively – they can assist me with the factors that I DO have in my control, such as trade, risk, and money management.

CCI, or The Commodity Channel Index, is a fascinating indicator: It was developed in 1980 by Donald Lambert.

I’m personally partial to CCI as I can use the indicator in multiple market conditions. If the market is ranging – I can trade ranges. If the market is trending with a lot of strong momentum (also called ‘MoMo by traders), CCI can help me trigger my entries. The key here is the trader – and the traders’ identification of the correct market condition so that CCI can be employed properly.

One of the tenets that we vigorously teach in the DailyFX+ Trading Course is the importance of trading with the Trend. I’m of the belief, as are the rest of the DailyFX Education group, that while counter-trend trades may potentially work, taking trades in the direction of the trend can be far more amenable to the traders’ goals.

Let’s take a look at the “CCI Momo,” strategy to get an idea for how some traders approach momentum situations with CCI.

If we pull up a daily chart and add a 55 period Moving Average, we have what can be looked at as a ‘Trend Proxy.’

When price is above the MA on the Daily Chart – I only want to take long trades (indicating that the trend is up), and when price is below the MA (showing me that the trend is down) – I only want short positions.

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_1.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

Now that I know what direction I want to trade this situation, I can go down to my shorter time frame chart. If I’m using the Daily for trend analysis, I’m often using the 4 hour for entries. I’ve included below a brief synopsis of the timeframes I’ll employ when using multi-time-frame analysis. If you’d like to find more information, we do a Live Webinar in the DailyFX+ Trading Room once per week on just this topic: Multi-Time-Frame Analysis. If you’d like to view the schedule, as well as our archived sessions (you can locate the previous Multi-Time-Frame Analysis session in the archived video player), please click on the link below:

DailyFX+ Trading Room

Multi-Time Frame Trend, and Entry Chart Timeframes

Trend Identification

Entry Chart

1 week

1 day

1 day

4 hour

4 hour

1 hour

1 hour

15/5 mins

When on the 4 hour chart, this is where I begin analyzing the CCI readings. In the case of long positions, I’m looking for CCI to penetrate the +100 line (please see below):

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_3.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

For short positions, I’m looking for the same thing – only reversed. Please see below for a diagram of CCI for short positions:

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_5.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

Putting it All Together

Let’s look at a full trade setup to get an idea for how the CCI Momo trade would be plotted.

USD/CHF has been in quite the bearish down-trend. From my Daily Chart (below), we can see that ‘Swissie,’ has priced down over 2500 pips since June of 2010. Also – key for myself in this strategy – price is trading nicely below the 55 period Exponential Moving Average:

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_6.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

In these situations – there is really only one way in which I’m interested in playing this. I only want short positions. Even though the trend *can* or *may* turn around, I don’t want to risk my hard-earned money on that potential prospect.

Upon performing my trend analysis, I decide, due to the strong down-trend and the fact that Swissie is below my 55 period EMA, I want to look for short position on the USD/CHF chart. Because I’m using my Daily Chart for trend analysis, I’m going to use my 4 hour chart for entry.

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_7.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

Let’s take a quick look at a long setup as well:

The NZD/USD currency pair has been on a momentous tear – continuing to make new all time highs. As it continued to climb higher, CCI offered numerous ‘MoMo,’ entries (Please see below).

The_CCI_MoMo_Trade_body_Picture_9.png, The CCI MoMo Trade

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station 2

This is just one of the many strategies that we talk about in the DailyFX+ Trading Room.

If you haven’t joined us in the DailyFX+ Trading room yet, please feel free to come by and see what we offer to all Live FXCM Clients. On top of the DailyFX+ Trading Course, we host live webinars 3-4 times per trading day in which we chart and diagram our trades, and student-traders can ask us questions in real-time about strategies, setups, or current market conditions. You can navigate directly to the DailyFX+ Trading Room from the link below:

DailyFX+ Trading Room

If you don’t yet have a live account with FXCM, you are certainly welcome to request trial access to the DailyFX+ Client Suite that is available to every live FXCM Client. You can request trial access from the following link below (sign-up field located to bottom right corner of page):

DailyFX+ Trial Access

To join James Stanley’s distribution list, please click here.

Thank you very much for your time, and Happy Trading!

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