News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Crudeoil prices could reverse lower as the #OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) forecasts fading global demand and oversupply concerns. Get your #commodities update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/G02ajeLPqZ https://t.co/THuauT4XQ9
  • The outlook for the $EURUSD pair has worsened after its failure to move back to the high just above 1.20 touched on September 1 despite the #ECB’s decision earlier this month not to talk down the Euro. Get your #currencies update from @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/kDCHxHgGlU https://t.co/Li4jHqaNdC
  • #USDollar Outlook Bearish on Mnuchin & Powell Testimonies, Key US Data ⬇️ https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/usd/2020/09/20/US-Dollar-Outlook-Bearish-on-Mnuchin-Powell-Testimonies-Key-US-Data.html
  • The London trading session accounts for around 35% of total average forex turnover*, the largest amount relative to its peers. The London forex session overlaps with the New York session. Learn about trading the London forex session here: https://t.co/UTWxbnNz7M https://t.co/fuWSUDE1pT
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/eRTdlhAOFN
  • The Japanese #Yen may continue to exhibit a bullish behavior as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) appears to be in no rush to alter the path for monetary policy. Get your #currencies update from @DavidJSong here: https://t.co/HFjc6KGzRw
  • The New Zealand Dollar appears poised to extend its climb against its haven-associated counterparts as long-term trend break hints at cyclical upturn. Get your $NZDUSD market update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/CPxP1Q8B6d https://t.co/n2wESiqnpJ
  • The US Dollar may rise against ASEAN currencies like the Singapore Dollar if local retail sales and sentiment data disappoints. USD/IDR may fall on the Bank of Indonesia. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/HpH8pXFdLl https://t.co/laHmaZXpJe
  • The US Dollar may rise against the Singapore Dollar and Philippine Peso. USD/MYR’s downtrend holds, but a bullish pattern brews. USD/IDR seems stuck between key technical levels.Get youe #ASEAN currencies market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/TF6DRVp6kX https://t.co/WEtxkdSwxD
  • There are three major forex trading sessions which comprise the 24-hour market: the London session, the US session and the Asian session. Learn about the characteristics of each session here: https://t.co/UVvf51HiVP https://t.co/4wlRjBTCzK
Using the Fibonacci Tool

Using the Fibonacci Tool

2012-08-21 21:36:00
Richard Krivo, Trading Instructor
Share:

Ideally, when the market is in a downtrend, we should look for rallies up off of the lows to a resistance level as a selling opportunity. Conversely, when the markets are in an uptrend we should look for dips off of the highs to a support level as a buying opportunity.

However, many times there does not appear to be any visible resistance or support on the chart to offer that opportunity.

This is one situation where the use of Fibonacci retracement levels can offer potential levels from which to enter a trade.

As with many aspects of trading, the key is to first identify the direction of the trend. Then a trader would wait for the move against the trend to take place before entering the trade as it moves back in the direction of the trend.

The use of Fibonacci retracement levels offers three levels of potential support in an uptrend and three levels of resistance in a downtrend. They are the 38.2%, the 50% and the 61.8% levels.

On the chart below we can see these three levels of resistance represented by the green lines after a strong move to the downside.

Using the Fibonacci Tool

For example, if the market moved down 1000 pips and then started to rally off of the lows, a 38.2% rally would be 382 pips of that 1000 pip move, a 50% rally would be 500 pips, while the 61.8% rally would be 618 pips off of the low.

Traders will then look for sells at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and place their protective stop beyond the 61.8% level. Others may use a technical indicator (Stochastics for example) to help better time their entry back into the direction of the trend after the retracement.

The rally up to between the 38.2% and 61.8% levels signals the trade zone. (We can see on our chart that price retraced into this zone several times providing selling opportunities.) Traders could then use another method to identify the actual sell entry into the trade. We only look for sells since the trend is down, we wait for a rally up to resistance (a Fib level) to note a potential trade and then we can use a technical indicator to help us time our entry as momentum reverses.

If this looks simple, it is because it is meant to be simple. The difficult part is waiting for these solid setups to form and then to be there to take advantage of them. But knowing what to look for is the first step to trading them.

---Written by Richard Krivo

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES