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Safe Haven Stocks to Trade in Volatile Markets

Safe Haven Stocks to Trade in Volatile Markets

Warren Venketas, Analyst
safe haven stocks

Throughout periods of market disorder, stock traders look to safe haven stocks in an attempt to weather the storm. Safe haven stocks can allow traders to diversify their portfolio and manage overall portfolio risk.

This article will outline the following key concepts to help traders analyze safe haven stocks:

  • Safe haven stocks defined
  • Cyclical vs Non-cyclical stocks
  • Best safe haven stocks to follow when markets are volatile
  • Key things to consider when trading safe haven stocks
  • Other safe havens to watch

What are safe haven stocks?

Safe haven stocks - also referred to as defensive/non-cyclical stocks - are stocks that are anticipated to preserve or possibly even increase in value during spells of market turbulence. This means they may be a bright spot in markets during times of economic uncertainty.

Safe havens stocks are sought after by investors and traders to limit their exposure in the event of market downturns. However, stocks deemed 'safe havens’ will often alter over time as market conditions change.

It is important to note that the role of safe haven stocks is either to diversify a portfolio or to preserve value during depreciating market conditions.

Cyclical vs Non-cyclical stocks

Cyclical stocks are stocks that are highly correlated to the current economic climate. When the market is in a slump/recession, cyclical stock prices tend to fall. Equally, when the economy is flourishing these companies tend to increase revenue alongside a rising share price. E.g. automotive and airline companies such as Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) or Boeing Co. Non-cyclical (safe haven) stocks refer to stocks that can provide investors with a consistent return irrespective of the condition of the equities market. Safe haven stocks can outperform the market in times of recessions but may underperform during expansionary stages. These safe haven stocks can fall under three broad headings namely:

  • Utilities
  • Consumer staples
  • Healthcare

Utilities such as water, oil and electricity are requirements for consumers which make these industries attractive in a slow economic environment. Habitual consumer products are also favored as people tend to reliably purchase these items in all circumstances (hygiene, food and beverages). Lastly, healthcare is a perpetual throughout any financial, economic or social circumstance. E.g. Southern Company, PepsiCo Inc and Pfizer Inc.

Popular safe haven stocks to trade when markets are volatile

The best safe haven stocks to trade through volatile markets will fall under the aforementioned defensive stock subcategories. Below is a bulleted list of common safe haven stocks under each category.

Utility stocks:

  • NextEra Energy Inc
  • Southern Company
  • York Water Company
  • New Jersey Resources Corporation
  • Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
utility stocks

Consumer staple stocks:

  • Procter & Gamble Company
  • Colgate-Palmolive
  • Coca-Cola Company
  • Walmart Inc
  • Philip Morris International Inc
  • Costco Wholesale Corporation
consumer staple stocks

Healthcare stocks:

  • Johnson & Johnson
  • Pfizer Inc
  • Merck & Co Inc
  • United Health Group Inc
healthcare stocks

Key things to consider when trading safe haven stocks

Most often, trading safe haven stocks is used as a defensive tool to weather a fading economy as even defensive stocks may not yield a positive return.

Slow economic conditions allow safe haven stocks to potentially outperform the rest of the stock market however, this does not necessarily translate into profits. There are several factors to consider when identifying and trading safe haven stocks:

1) Beta

Trader’s should consider the beta of a stock prior to investment. The beta refers to the correlation between the stock and the market. A beta value of one indicates price is strongly correlated with the market. A beta value greater than one signals a security is more volatile than the market, while a low beta value (closer to zero) has less association with markets conditions. This will allow for traders to hedge against increased volatility.

2) Dividends

As a general rule of thumb, it is considered that stocks with high dividend yields maybe considered as safe haven stocks. These companies can have a perception of keeping their value during erratic periods. Dividends also provide a fixed source of income which can often be invested back into the company through dividend reinvestment plans.

3) P/E ratio:

Safe haven stocks are renown for being undervalued in terms of their P/E ratios. P/E ratio is the ratio of a company's share price to the company's earnings per share. The ratio is used for valuing companies and to find out whether they are overvalued or undervalued. Stocks with lower P/E ratios may be seen as undervalued as investors are paying less for each dollar of the company's earnings, which also highlights the possibility of lower expectations for future growth.

4) Large established companies:

Reputable companies that have been cemented into the stock market are also candidates for a safe haven product. This is because people tend to stick to these established brands and have confidence in the company even during a period of price decline. These types of stocks generally lose less value than mid or small cap shares in recessions.

No one factor is dominant over another. Traders need to do thorough research and analysis prior to selecting safe haven stocks. All factors above should be scrutinized to derive the most suitable shares for the risk appetite of the portfolio.

Safe haven FAQ section

What are the differences between safe haven stocks and defensive stocks?

Safe haven stocks and defensive stocks are interchangeable terms that refer to the same non-cyclical stock activity. Novice stock analysts and traders should not be perplexed by varying stock jargon. This extends to many other areas of financial markets which can seem daunting. Extracting complex terms from the equation will help novice traders analyse the essential aspects of the stock market.

Other safe havens to watch

Safe haven assets are not isolated to the equity market alone. Traders can look to other financial markets for security against downturns, such as forex and gold. Read our guide to safe haven currencies or follow the links to other safe haven assets below:

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES