News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Silver is strengthening today, rising from 25.50 to currently trade above 25.85. The precious metal is now trading at a three week high. $XAG $SLV https://t.co/N00VYEmMlf
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 1.85% Gold: 1.56% Oil - US Crude: 0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/0XcUzDWhqz
  • 🇺🇸 Business Inventories MoM (FEB) Actual: 0.5% Expected: 0.5% Previous: 0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-15
  • 🇺🇸 NAHB Housing Market Index (APR) Actual: 83 Expected: 83 Previous: 82 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-15
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.08%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 74.81%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/iQ76alFO1m
  • Commodities Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 1.29% Gold: 1.02% Oil - US Crude: -0.62% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/87sd9nCfao
  • Sources: Italy's cabinet approves new stimulus package worth 40bln Euros. $EUR
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Business Inventories MoM (FEB) due at 14:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.5% Previous: 0.3% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-15
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 NAHB Housing Market Index (APR) due at 14:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 83 Previous: 82 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-15
  • The S&P500 and Dow Jones both hit new record highs at the US market open. $SPY $DIA
The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part4: Economic Events

The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part4: Economic Events

Walker England, Forex Trading Instructor

Talking Points:

  • News events can help us decipher an economy’s strength
  • GDP, CPI and Employment figures can change the demand of a currency
  • Fundamental traders look to pair currencies from a strong economy to a weaker one

There are a variety of news events fundamental traders may monitor to determine the strength or weakness of an economy. Ultimately, these factors will influence money flows causing currency pairs to fluctuate. Today we will continue our look at market fundamentals by examining three of the most important events and how they can affect currency prices.

GDP

Fist we have the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The GDP growth rate looks specifically at changes in growth patterns of an economy by tabulating household consumption, government spending, domestic investment’s, and net exports for a country. As growth increases it means an economy is expanding and can cause a high demand for a nation’s currency as that currency is needed to make new purchases. As well a contraction or slowdown in growth can have the opposite effect.

Ultimately this growth (or lack of it) causes inflationary pressures in the market place. With central banks looking to potentially change monetary policy due to these results GDP announcements can become volatile events.

Learn Forex: US GDP

The-Forex-Guide-to-Fundamentals-Part4_body_United_States_GDP_Revised_Down_to_2.png, The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part4: Economic Events

CPI

Next, we will look at the Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI is another economic indicator that is released on a monthly basis by most major economies. It is designed to give a timely glimpse into current inflation levels in an economy. Inflation tracked through CPI looks specifically at purchasing power and the rise of prices of goods and services. If prices are raising drastically this can be signs of growth as well as rising inflation.

In most scenarios, if CPI is released lower than expected, normally this would influence Reserve Banks to consider stimulating the economy by opting for lower interest rates or commit to new open market operations to increase the money supply. Conversely a higher CPI reading suggests an inflating economy. This would give cause for increasing current interest rates and thus affect demand for a currency.

Learn Forex: US CPI

The-Forex-Guide-to-Fundamentals-Part4_body_United_States_Consumer_Price_Index_CPI.png, The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part4: Economic Events

Employment Figures

Lastly fundamental traders should monitor employment figures to get a bearing on the strength or weakness of an underlying economy. A booming economy will offer many employment opportunities and drive down unemployment figures. As business contracts, the opposite is true. As unemployment rises, it can have a devastating effect on an underlying economy.

While there are a variety of employment statistics that can be tracked one of the most watched is the Non Farm Payroll (NFP) figure released in the United States. This event shows new jobs added to the workforce outside of the agricultural sector and shows the strength of the US economy. As this number is released fundamental traders will watch for opportunities to buy or sell currencies coupled with the dollar.

Now that you are familiar with some of the markets preeminent news releases you can begin following them while looking for trading opportunities. To practice pairing the strongest and weakest currencies register for a Free Forex Demo account with FXCM

This will conclude the 4th installment of the Forex Guide to Fundamentals! If you missed one of the previous editions, please enjoy the articles linked below.

The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part3: Central Banks

The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part2: Capital Flows & Interest Rates

The Forex Guide to Fundamentals, Part1: What is a Fundamental?

---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor

To contact Walker, emailinstructor@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.

To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, CLICK HERE and enter in your email information

New to the FX market? Save hours in figuring out what FOREX trading is all about. Take this free 20 minute “New to FX” course presented by DailyFX Education. In the course, you will learn about the basics of a FOREX transaction, what leverage is, and how to determine an appropriate amount of leverage for your trading.

Register HERE to start your FOREX learning now!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES