Never miss a story from James B. Stanley

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to James B. Stanley

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Range-Trading Confluence

By James B. Stanley

Traders will often say that they are looking for a ‘confluence,’ of factors before entering a trade. This simply means that they want the trade to look like a good idea from more than one vantage point.

There may be a current currency pair exhibiting such behavior.

As the market swings like a pendulum waiting for its next motivation to strive to new support or new resistance; price has proven to be range bound. If viewed from the hourly chart, many of the major and commodity currency pairs are exhibiting this type of behavior (please see below).

Range-trading_confluence_body_Picture_1.png, Range-Trading Confluence

(Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

As you can see on this hourly chart of AUD/USD, price has recently reflected off of the 1.0100 psychological support level; which in and of itself, considering recent price action, could be enough motivation for the range trader to trigger a position.

But this is one of those areas in which confluence may be available. Using the 13x2 Range strategy that I had discussed in our previous article (please click here to access), there could be a pending potential opportunity on the pair.

The first part of the strategy seeks to ensure that previous price action has been showing range-bound behavior, and for that I use ADX, or the Average Directional Index. I look for readings of below 30 to identify ranges. As you can see from the hourly AUD/USD chart, ADX is currently reading below 30:

Range-trading_confluence_body_Picture_4.png, Range-Trading Confluence

(Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

If ADX is reading below 30, I can then move on to step 2 looking for a ‘trigger,’ to initiate my position. For the trigger in this strategy, I use CCI, or the Commodity Channel Index. I simply look for crosses down and under +100 for short positions, or crosses up and over -100 to look for long positions.

CCI has recently crossed up and over -100, giving me a signal to look at potential long positions.

Range-trading_confluence_body_Picture_7.png, Range-Trading Confluence

(Created with Trading Station 2.0/Marketscope)

This is confluence.

I now have 2 reasons that I like the trade, and I can then look to employ my money, trade, and risk management on this ranging opportunity.

--- Written by James B. Stanley

To contact James Stanley, please email Instructor@DailyFX.Com. You can follow James on Twitter @JStanleyFX.

To join James Stanley’s distribution list, please click here.