News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Recessions can devastate the economy and disrupt the fortunes of individuals, businesses, and investors. But economic decline in the business cycle is inevitable, and your trading can be defined by how you respond to crisis. learn how to prepare here: https://t.co/e4CnobJCss https://t.co/w009tJEQZn
  • Looking for a new way to trade reversals? One of the most used reversal candle patterns is known as the Harami. Like most candlestick formation patterns, the Harami tells a story about sentiment in the market. Get better with trading reversals here: https://t.co/rfwUWJfbz9 https://t.co/2AeO1AdD2M
  • MACD who? The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator which simply measures the relationship of exponential moving averages (EMA). Find out how you can incorporate MACD into your trading strategy here: https://t.co/ZNs4Qi8ieG https://t.co/INJz4NSugQ
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here: https://t.co/QszmdZX8cS https://t.co/qdrsi61CN8
  • It seems the markets are riding high, but risk is always lurking around the corner. Consider your escape plan before you find yourself in collapsing market. What are the top havens for different conditions in 2021? Find out from @JohnKicklighter here: https://t.co/1oeXWEsJkb https://t.co/IyQdfq29fz
  • Myth or fact? One thing is for sure, there are a lot of misconceptions about trading. Knowing the difference between common trading myths and the reality is essential to long-term success. Find out about these 'myths' here: https://t.co/EDvQdHfIPm https://t.co/R7pa7DsM8n
  • What are some monetary policies that could affect Gold this quarter? Get your Gold free forecast here: https://t.co/bTXkGN1CIM #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/EhdZpmkzaH
  • Even more remarkable than the record high levels of leverage registered in US equities this past week was the attention it garnered. Paying attention to risk is a threat when markets are this high and the docket as dense as it is this week. My outlook: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/01/23/Dow-VIX-Tesla-and-Leverage-Reflect-Greater-Risk-to-the-Relentless-Bull-Market.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/KBOJIRPTQe
  • Consolidation or bull flag? A bull flag is a continuation pattern that occurs as a brief pause in the trend following a strong price move higher. Learn how to better spot these formations here: https://t.co/yOEvLjKnct https://t.co/qP2PbS4dsY
  • Are you new to trading? Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilising different forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Get a refresher on technical analysis or begin building your knowledge here: https://t.co/qV3c7a4YR3 https://t.co/POGWDIkqqz
Measuring Volatility with Average True Range

Measuring Volatility with Average True Range

Jeremy Wagner, Lead Trading Instructor,

Average True Range (ATR) is a tool used in technical analysis to measure volatility. This indicator does not provide an implication for the direction of price trend. It simply measures the degree of price volatility from high to low for the day.

A simplified explanation of the ATR is that it measures the range of a session in pips and then determines the average of that range over a certain number of sessions. For instance, if using a daily chart with a default setting of 14, the ATR will measure the average daily range, from high to low of the previous 14 days. This way you are getting a current reading on the volatility of a specific currency pair. The idea is that large and increasing values shows ranges that are expanding. As the market normally breathes in and out, this expansion of volatility indicates to us how far prices may reach.

As a result, many traders us ATR as a method to identify and limit risk on trades. For example, if you typically hold trades open for at least a day, you will want to use a stop loss level that is at least 1 Daily ATR value away. That way, as the market goes through its normal breathing, the majority of the movement is likely to be contained within 1 ATR value.

Let’s compare 2 different markets with different ATR values.

Measuring Volatility with Average True RangeMeasuring Volatility with Average True Range

(Created by J. Wagner)

The current 14 day ATR for the EUR/GBP is about 82 pips while the same 14 day ATR for the GBP/AUD is more than three times that amount at about 256 pips. So we can see why a standard 100 pip stop is not the best way to determine your risk on every trade. Many traders will simply use the ATR for their risk. They would place their stop 82 pips from their entry in a EUR/GBP trade or 256 pips from their entry in a GBP/AUD trade. This is one way to base your risk on the reality of the current market you are trading.

Another interesting point on the charts above is where values have generally stood over the recent past. As you can see in the EUR/GBP, it has produced ATR values less than 100 pips for the majority of the previous 12 months.

On the GBP/AUD, at its lowest zone of volatility (red boxed area), it averaged around 140 pips. It is apparent the volatility on the GBP/AUD reaches beyond the current market conditions. It has historically had 2-3 times the size of volatility as the EUR/GBP.

Next: The ADX Indicator Is a Power Tool for Trading Trends (20 of 50)

Previous: How to Trade the Aroon Indicator

Additional educational resources

How Do I Know If a Stop is Too Big

Jeremy Wagner contributes to the Instructor Trading Tips articles.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES