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Crude Oil Prices Poised For A Breakout

Crude Oil Prices Poised For A Breakout

Walker England, Forex Trading Instructor

Talking Points:

Crude oil prices continue to trade off of yearly highs, but have failed to breakout significantly for the 2017 trading year. As such, traders continue to wait for a market catalyst to cause the commodity to breach key values of either support or resistance. Key news for this week includes the release of US employment data this Friday. Expectations for US NFP (Feb) is set at +190k, while the US Unemployment Rate is set to be released at 4.7%.

Technically the price of crude oil remains in an ongoing daily trading range, which is depicted below. Current daily resistance remains located at the January 3rd 2017 peak at $55.67. Alternatively, crude oil prices remain supported above the January 10th low at $51.34. As prices continue to ping between these values, traders may continue to reference these points for a potential market breakout.

Crude Oil Price, Daily Range with Average

(Created Using IG Charts)

Monday’s trading has prices in the middle of this $4.33 range. Currently short term momentum is pointed lower, with the price of crude remaining under the 10 Day EMA found at $53.63. If prices continue to decline this week, traders may look for crude oil to return to support and potentially breakout lower. In the event of a bearish breakout, traders may use a 1x extension of this range to find preliminary pricing targets near $47.01. Alternatively if prices remain supported, traders may look for crude oil to bounce and retest resistance at the standing 2017 high. In this scenario, bullish breakout targets for crude oil may be identified near $60.00.

In the event that prices fail breakout, traders may elect to trade the continuing range or look for opportunities elsewhere.

--- Written by Walker, Analyst for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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