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EUR/USD Declines on GDP Data

EUR/USD Declines on GDP Data

Walker England, Forex Trading Instructor


Talking Points

  • EUR/USD Declines on GDP Data
  • Bearish Breakouts Begin Under 1.0981
  • SSI Reads Flat at 1.05

EUR/USD30 Minute Chart

(Created using Marketscope 2.0 Charts)

Losing Money Trading? This Might Be Why.

The EUR/USD is breaking out this morning below support, after the US Dollar rallied on better than expected GDP data. Forecasts for the event were set at 0.8% and the actual total was released at 0.9% beating expectations. With prices now trading below the S4 Pivot at 1.0981, traders may look for the pair to trade towards new weekly lows before today’s close. Potential bearish targets for the day begin at 1.0947, which is found by extrapolating 1X todays 34 pip range.

It should be noted that before today’s GDP event, the EUR/USD did attempt to breakout higher above today’s R4 pivot point. Even though this initial bullish breakout was invalidated, traders looking for a bullish reversal should continue to monitor price for a late day rebound. A move in price back above today’s R3 pivot point, which is found at a price of 1.0999, would represent at least a temporary change in market conditions. In this scenario, traders may look for the EUR/USD to again challenge values of resistance which include today’s R3 pivot point at 1.1033.

SSI (Speculative Sentiment Index) for the EUR/USD continues to read flat at -1.05. A neutral reading here suggests that the pair is not decisively trending in one direction. Going into next week, traders should continue to monitor SSI to see if a new extreme is created.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.