News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • BoE's Bailey - Outlook is positive but with large doses of cautionary realism - Contingency planning for negative rates implies nothing about our intentions in that direction
  • Myth or fact? One thing is for sure, there are a lot of misconceptions about trading. Knowing the difference between common trading myths and the reality is essential to long-term success. Find out about these 'myths' here: https://t.co/EDvQdHfIPm https://t.co/MshYqL1y2c
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speech due at 10:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-08
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.85%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 66.63%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/JyR3xc98Wr
  • Commodities Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.96% Silver: 0.61% Gold: -0.22% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/yc6zHLMQjl
  • Forex Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: 0.03% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.02% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.02% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.11% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.15% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.29% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/buujEMQ7YX
  • Indices Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.77% Germany 30: 0.69% France 40: 0.69% Wall Street: -0.11% US 500: -0.53% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/Dy6BFqiMZa
  • Dollar May Rise as Stimulus Boosts Yields, Pound Eyes Bailey Comments - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/euro_open/2021/03/08/Dollar-May-Rise-as-Stimulus-Boosts-Yields-Pound-Eyes-Bailey-Comments.html
  • What are some monetary policies that could affect Gold this quarter? Get your Gold free forecast here: https://t.co/bTXkGN1CIM #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/E8nwHmBwE6
  • Missed the weekly outlook webinar today? See the recording here: https://t.co/7vz7cXUZfJ #Dollar #stimulus #stocks #gold
Trading the Nonfarm Payrolls

Trading the Nonfarm Payrolls

Thomas Long, Course Instructor

However, more often than not, new traders are not the one’s profiting but rather losing. The main reason is slippage, which is when your order is filled away from the price you wanted. The reason for slippage is simple, big traders stay away from these events and new traders all try to do the same thing at the same time. If the release is bullish for the EUR/USD, everybody wants to buy at the same time. However, most find that there is nobody willing to sell to them at their price. But eventually your order is filled, but at the seller’s price. Soon you find the market moving against you and you exit to keep your losses from getting too big. But what about those who were selling to you? As the market continues to fall, you start to wonder about these traders who sold to you and the fact that they are now making money. What did they do differently?
 

These traders were playing the reversal and taking advantage of the fact that the first move after a release is often based on emotions and wrong. Here is a 5-minute chart and an example of a reversal after the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls. We can see that just before the release, the EUR/USD was trading at 1.4892. After the release, the market started to rally up to near the 1.4940 level. The market then started to reverse and traders who were playing the reverse sold at the price the market was trading just before the release. The assumption here is that all traders who bought after the release are now in a losing trade and are selling to get out. So these new traders sell at 1.4892 to get in and use a 50 pip stop with a 100 pip limit order to take profit, which is what we recommend in our DailyFX Courses. This is our 1:2 risk:reward ratio and allows us to be profitable if only winning 40% of these setups. The market soon moved down 100 pips from the 1.4892 entry and rewarded those who were patient and reacted to the market environment rather than the emotional first response to the release. These reversal traders will also use the EUR/USD as much as possible in these situations because of the increased volume and better fills. But you don’t have to be first to get into the trade to be right, you just have to be patient and react to the market and not the news release. The EUR/USD doesn’t act like this on every release, but it does frequently enough to make this a valuable strategy.
 

news

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES