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Oil Traders Prepare for a Breakout on WTI Consolidation

Oil Traders Prepare for a Breakout on WTI Consolidation

Walker England, Forex Trading Instructor


Market Condition: Pending Breakout

Target 1: November High $48.33

Target 2: October High $50.90

Invalidation: Bearish Breakout Under $39.87

WTI Crude (US Oil) 1Day Chart

(Created using TradingView Charts)

WTI Crude Oil (US OIL) has started Monday’s testing resistance of a trading range that has been developing for the last seven trading days. Currently resistance is marked by Fridays high at a price of $42.73bbl. If prices trade above this value it opens the possibility that prices are completing an A-B-C correction from the October high at $50.90. In this bullish scenario traders looking for a breakout may first target the November high at $48.33, followed by the previously mentioned October high.

If prices fail to breach resistance it would suggest that WTI is set for further consolidation, or a bearish breakout under support. Support is currently referenced from the November 19th low at a price of $39.87. A decline under this value would signal a potential continuation of Crude Oils current downtrend, which has already declined as much as $24.83 a barrel from the May 2015 high at $62.56. In this scenario the previously mentioned A-B-C correction would be invalidated, and traders may begin to target 2015 lows at $37.73

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.