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EURUSD triggers bear-flag on 4-hr chart

On the top-side, the Euro looked like it might want to trade up to trend-line resistance before turning back lower, however; the bear-flag on the 4-hr was triggered this morning, undermining any bullish momentum the Euro had left.

This has the trading bias tilted in favor of shorts as long as we don’t see a recovery back inside the flag and above today’s high at 11304. With volatility as low as it is, rivaling depths not seen since 2014, the move lower might not be very big.

On trade down to the recent lows near 11180 we could see buyers step in again and keep the Euro supported. This doesn’t leave a lot of room for a swing-trade, but the trading bias for near-term bets between here and there favors sellers.

See what fundamental factors are in play for EURUSD in the Q2 Euro Forecast.

EURUSD 4-hr Chart (Bear-flag broke)

EURUSD 4-hr chart, bear-flag broke

EURUSD Daily Chart (watch support sub-11200)

EURUSD daily chart, watch support sub-11200

GBPUSD nearing wedge break

Last week, I highlighted GBPUSD as a set-up to pay attention to as it nears the apex of a wedge its been building. It is very near breaking. A close above the top-side trend-line will indicate a bullish bias and a break below 12904 will turn things bearish. In the event of a fake-break, we may have to turn the initial bias around if price begins to swing back through the other side of the pattern.

See what fundamental factors are in play for GBPUSD in the Q2 Pound Forecast.

GBPUSD Daily Chart (Wedge about to break)

GBPUSD daily chart, wedge about to break

***Updates will be provided on these ideas and others in the trading/technical outlook webinars held at 9 GMT on Tuesday and Friday. If you are looking for ideas and feedback on how to improve your overall approach to trading, join me on Thursday each week for the Becoming a Better Trader webinar series.

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX