Never miss a story from Paul Robinson

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to Paul Robinson

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Struggling right now? It happens to the best. Check out these four core ideas to help boost your Confidence as a Trader.

AUDUSD bear-flag on right side of H&S pattern

The broader trend is lower in AUDUSD, and on that looking for shorter-term bearish set-ups makes sense. Thus far, today’s session is turning out to be a strong rejection lower from near the trend-line dating back to the beginning of last year.

Today’s high could mark the peak of a right shoulder of a multi-week head-and-shoulders pattern. Looking more granular at the 4-hr chart, the right shoulder is also turning out to be a bear-flag, a price sequence worthy in its own right of executing on.

A break of the bear-flag will quickly have the neckline in focus along with lows running back to October. A drop through 7021 is seen as the last obstacle standing between AUD and a test of the January 2 flash-crash.

Looking for Trading Forecasts and Education to assist you in your trading? We’ve got you covered on the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

AUDUSD Daily Chart (Downtrend, H&S formation)

AUDUSD daily chart, downtrend, H&S formation

AUDUSD 4-hr Chart (H&S, Bear-flag)

AUDUSD 4-hr chart, H&S, bear-flag

AUDNZD unable to rally above former support

Former support becomes new resistance, a simple rule of thumb in technical analysis. That is what we are seeing right now in AUDNZD. It traded a bit above former support (now resistance) on an intra-day basis, but as long as it holds on a closing basis then it will be considered a successful test. Barring a strong close, stops placed above the high of today (10488) should remain out of harm’s way. The target for AUDNZD as outlined from last week is the flash-crash low, then parity or worse.

AUDNZD Daily Chart (Staying below former support)

AUDNZD daily chart, staying below former support

***Updates will be provided on these ideas and others in the trading/technical outlook webinars held on Tuesday and Friday. If you are looking for ideas and feedback on how to improve your overall approach to trading, join me on Thursday each week for the Becoming a Better Trader webinar series.

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX