We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The most interesting and largely overlooked net speculative futures readings comes from $USDMXN which has pushed to a record low - giving some serious pause to this tentative, multi-year wedge breakdown https://t.co/Qnpdw6BURp
  • One of the more extreme, 'shorter term' speculative futures position statuses is that for $GBPUSD: https://t.co/cHVPMcgKoY
  • Net speculative gold positioning is still hovering at net long records - a similar refusal to ease up reflected in the commodity's price ($GC_F) https://t.co/YQsDxWsLrL
  • The $NZDUSD sentiment outlook is bearish, how appropriate given that prices recently took out a near-term rising support line from November ahead of this week's NZ CPI report. To learn more about this tool, join me on Wednesdays at 1:00 GMT here #NZD - https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/998956395?CHID=9&QPID=917702 https://t.co/QN7G4MW2Mu
  • Net speculative futures positioning behind the Dollar has dropped far far further than the $DXY itself. Will price or positioning close the gap? https://t.co/LM25g00PJP
  • Forex Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.14% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.05% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.00% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.04% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.04% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/Ws5mUElh5q
  • RT @RichDvorakFX: $USD $DXY | US Dollar Faces Bearish Fundamental Headwinds from the Fed & Trade https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/usd/2020/01/18/us-dollar-faces-bearish-fundamental-headwinds-from-the-fed-trade.html https://t.co/yNrA…
  • Commodities Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.22% Oil - US Crude: 0.19% Silver: 0.18% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/tk8nvUnsRt
  • Top event risk coming up over the next 24 hours: BOJ rate decision (? GMT); UK jobless claims (9:30); Eurozone investor sentiment (10:00); Deadline for US-France digital tax resolution (?); World Economic Forum (all day); Netflix earnings (21:00); Korea GDP (23:00)
  • 🇳🇿 NZD Performance Services Index (DEC), Actual: 51.9 Expected: N/A Previous: 52.9 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-01-20
EURJPY: Chart Starts to Break Down

EURJPY: Chart Starts to Break Down

2019-02-08 08:46:00
Nick Cawley, Analyst
Share:

The Brand New DailyFX Q12019 EUR and JPY Forecasts are now available to download.

EURJPY Nears Fibonacci Support

A mixture of fundamentals and technicals suggest that EURJPY may continue to move lower as the relative strength of each currency comes into focus. In brief the Euro remains under pressure as growth in the single bloc stagnates with Germany likely to just miss going into technical recession. Commentary from various central bankers suggest that fresh liquidity measures are being seriously considered and that the idea of a rate hike has been pushed further back. Italian government bond yields – a risk indicator - are pushing back towards 3% while the safe-haven German bond market is negative yielding all the way out to nine years. Against this the safe-haven Japanese Yen continues to gain strength as US China trade talks are pushed back and are unlikely before March 1, the day before tariffs on Chinese imported goods hit 25%.

On the chart, the recent recovery in EURJPY looks likely capped at the 50% Fibonacci level at 126.18 if it breaks above the 20- and 50-day moving averages between 124.90 and 125.50. The pair have just touched a new two-week low and eye the 123.35-123.50 level where the January 7 and 15 lows meet 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A break and close below here would bring the January 2 spike low back into focus.

EURJPY Daily Price Chart (December 2017 – February 8, 2018)

EURJPY: Chart Starts to Break Down

IG Client Sentiment Datashows how retail investors are positioned in a range of currencies and asset markets.

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on EURJPY – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.comor via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.