Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

Free Trading Guides
Please try again

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar Events


Notify me about

Live Webinar Events
Economic Calendar Events






More View More
Bullish GBP/CAD

Bullish GBP/CAD

Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist


Check out our new Trading Guides: they’re free and have been updated for the first quarter of 2018

GBP/CAD Rally has Further to Run

The Bank of Canada raised interest rates by 0.25% to 1.25% on Wednesday on the back of ultra-low unemployment – the lowest level in over 50 years – and a buoyant economy. The central bank’s governor Stephen Poloz however warned that ongoing North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) negotiations with its neighbour the United States may stymy any further rate hikes especially “if an announcement is made that NAFTA is no longer to be.”

Recent price action showed that the rate hike was fully priced in and post-rate hike GBP/CAD rallied further in classic ‘sell the rumour, buy the fact’ fashion., hitting a one-month high. In addition, GBP is currently in the middle of a strong uptick as investors continue to price in a ‘softer’ Brexit on the back of a more conciliatory tone from the European Union on future trade agreements.

A look at the weekly chart shows three resistance levels nearing. The first target on the upside is the double top at 1.7470, made on November 30-31, before the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the August 2015 – October 2016 move at 1.76590 comes into play. And just after that target, the May 2017 high around 1.78450 heaves into view. The stochastic indicator also points to continued GBP/CAD strength, adding another bullish layer to the trade.

Chart: GBPCAD Price Chart Weekly Timeframe (February 2015 – January 18, 2018)

Chart by IG

Entry Point: 1.72830 – Current Market Price.

Target 1: 1.7660 – 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement.

Target 2: 1.78450 – May 2017 High.

Stop-Loss: 1.6876 – 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement.

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.