News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • ECB said to expect difficult June decision on bond-buying pace, ECB views said to differ on economic optimism and need for caution - ECB sources $EUR
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.49%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 68.53%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/coX4Ww1pRP
  • 🇷🇺 Interest Rate Decision Actual: 5% Expected: 4.75% Previous: 4.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-23
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.50% Gold: 0.13% Silver: -0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/DyTN6Z1PLU
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.34% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.34% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.33% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.18% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.15% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/JKnNu9wyXr
  • Heads Up:🇷🇺 Interest Rate Decision due at 10:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 4.75% Previous: 4.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-23
  • ECB's De Cos - Including transient and mild inflation overshoots in monetary policy strategy is expected to have only a minor impact on inflation expectations - A point plan of exactly 2% would be a reasonable option (current inflation guidance = below, but close to 2%)
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.20% Wall Street: 0.13% France 40: -0.26% Germany 30: -0.31% FTSE 100: -0.43% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/OEqPvEZrZu
  • 🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash (APR) Actual: 60.7 Expected: 59 Previous: 58.9 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-23
  • 🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Flash (APR) Actual: 60.1 Expected: 59 Previous: 56.3 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-23
Long the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen

Long the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen

David Rodriguez, Head of Product

I think the US Dollar may decline further across the board, but potential reward to risk on USDJPY long positions remains attractive against the key ¥76 mark.

In truth, there's clear risk that the USDJPY could trade lower. Yet I view the potential downside as limited compared to fairly significant upside.

The USDJPY has traded on a virtual tick-for-tick correlation with the 2-year US Treasury Yield and any singificant bounces will have to wait for a shift in interest rate expectations. But the 2-year is already at incredible lows of 0.24 percent--there really isn't much further downside.

With that in mind I'll go long USDJPY against the 2012 low of ¥76 with initial targets starting at the ¥80 mark. This is a long-term trade, and obviously I need to make sure my entry price offers at least as much reward as risk. As such this trade is valid at ¥78 or below.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, send a message with subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com ;

Contact David via Twitter at

http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFXFacebook at

http://www.Facebook.com/DRodriguezFX

Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit theFXCM Trading Expo website.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES