News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • ECB's Makhlouf says fears of excessive inflation are exaggerated $EUR
  • It seems the markets are riding high, but risk is always lurking around the corner. Consider your escape plan before you find yourself in collapsing market. What are the top havens for different conditions in 2021? Find out from @JohnKicklighter here: https://t.co/1oeXWEsJkb https://t.co/7U3ZJR0kDB
  • Angola to cut November oil exports to lowest since at least 2008 - Angola exported 1.1mbpd of crude oil in September, according to Refinitiv
  • ECB's Kazaks - The 2% price target will not be met in the medium term - Inflation outlook likely to be revised higher
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/fs5IRP7MJy
  • ECB's De Cos says conclusion of FT report is incompatible with ECB guidance $EUR
  • 💶 Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) Actual: 3% Expected: 3% Previous: 2.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • 💶 Inflation Rate MoM Final (AUG) Actual: 0.4% Expected: 0.4% Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • 💶 Core Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) Actual: 1.6% Expected: 1.6% Previous: 0.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • Heads Up:💶 Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) due at 09:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3% Previous: 2.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
Daily Observations: February 19, 2013

Daily Observations: February 19, 2013

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

Current Positions:

- Short AUDUSD (1/2) from 1.0345, Stop at 1.0480, Target 1 at 1.0225, Target 2 at 1.0135/75

- Long EURCHF from 1.2018 (1/2), Stop at 1.2218 (locked-in +200-pips), Target 2 at 1.2750

- Long USDJPY from (1/4) 90.35, Stop at 91.85 (lock-in +150-pips), Target 2 at 93.30 HIT, Target 3 at 95.00

Time Frame: 1-day to 1-week

Pending Positions:

- Short AUDUSD (1/2) at 1.0450, Stop at 1.0480, Target 1 at 1.0360, Target 2 at 1.0225, Target 3 at 1.0135/75

Recently Closed Positions:

- Exited Long EURAUD from 1.3005 at 1.2925 for -80-pips

- Exited Long EURGBP from 0.8615 at 0.8585 for -30-pips

- Closed Short GBPUSD from 1.5650 at 1.5485 for +165-pips

Same bias from yesterday: "While I still like EURAUD and EURGBP higher in 2013, I am partial to the notion that the upcoming Italian elections pose immeasurable risk at present time, considering how close the polls are; a Berlusconi victory would send the Euro tumbling across the board, from my perspectivce.

Accordingly, any sell-offs in EURAUD and EURGBP are opportunities to get long, while any rally in the GBPUSD is another opportunity to get short. The GBPUSD is most intriguing now that it has put in a weekly close below the ascending trendline off of the 2009 and 2010 low; a visit into the 1.4000s in the 2Q'13 should not be ruled out, especially if the US economy continues to improve - the Fed and the BoE would be moving in starkly opposite directions."

I've also shorted AUDUSD this morning on the run-up towards 1.0360/80, an area of former support (now resistance), which also failed last week. I remain bearish against 1.0460/80.

As always, any other trade ideas and general macroeconomic musings can be found in the Real Time Newsfeed, or by following me on twitter @CVecchioFX.

I also host a weekly Live Trading Q&A in DailyFX Plus, on Tuesdays at 07:15 EST / 12:15 GMT, in which I delve deeper into my positions and thought processes behind my analyses.

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

https://twitter.com/cvecchiofx

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES