We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The US Dollar could rise against #ASEAN currencies such as the Singapore Dollar as US-China tensions seem to escalate. The Indian Rupee is also looking ahead of local 1Q GDP data.Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/LkEFJViPWY https://t.co/fc07BMitLx
  • Wall Street Futures Update S&P 500: -0.33% Dow Jones: -0.34% NASDAQ 100: -0.32% (delayed) - BBG
  • (Asia AM) The Japanese #Yen and US Dollar sank as the Australian Dollar rose despite escalating US-China tensions over Hong Kong. $USDJPY may be readying to turn lower after clearing support - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2020/05/26/Yen-Sank-Despite-US-China-Hong-Kong-Tensions-USDJPY-May-Fall.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/GxJ7D7W5Ov
  • RBNZ's Orr: Sees 'more room to go' on home loan interest rates -BBG
  • The $AUD may suffer as relations between Australia and China deteriorate amid dwindling growth prospects. Euro traders will be closely watching progress in talks about a €500b recovery fund proposal. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/LkEFJViPWY https://t.co/6QH27c5ZHS
  • RBNZ's Orr: Expects credit demand to lift and bank lending to match greater credit demand -BBG
  • RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr: Sees more room for banks to increase lending, banks have done well with loan restructures -BBG $NZDUSD #RBNZ
  • Join @ddubrovskyFX 's #webinar at 8:00 PM ET/12:00 AM GMT to find out what information you can gain from knowing what other traders are buying or selling. Register here: https://t.co/Bb3CTCTm44 https://t.co/AyCMqK52oa
  • BoC's Poloz: Negative rates needed only in extreme conditions, extreme conditions may happen if fiscal policy not used -BBG $USDCAD
  • S&P500: Still, risks to the rally remain so traders will have to discern whether this is an honest breakout or a mere head-fake higher. Get your #equities market update from @PeterHanksFX here:https://t.co/zDlsun6VIF https://t.co/IQ1ITcVj7I
Daily Observations: December 7, 2012

Daily Observations: December 7, 2012

2012-12-07 22:40:00
Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist
Share:

Current Positions:

- Long EURCHF from 1.2018, Stop at 1.1990, Target 1 at 1.2500, Target 2 at 1.2750

- Long USDJPY from 80.65 (1/2), Stop at 82.05 (daily close), Target 2 at 83.30

Recently Closed Positions:

- Closed Short EURUSD (1/2) from 1.3110 at 1.3030 for +80-pips.

- Closed Short EURUSD (1/2) from 1.3110 at 1.2905 for +205-pips.

Time Frame: 1-day to 1-week

The Short EURUSD trade initiated on Tuesday and closed out today worked out nicely, averaging a net gain of +142.5-pips. It appears to be 5 waves down from the December high, so we should be looking to sell any rebounds.

I've adjusted the Stop on the Long USDJPY position to lock in +140-pips. Ideally, I'd like to be able to get new entries on a retest of 80.50/70.

Keep in mind that the Federal Reserve meets on December 12, where it is widely anticipated a QE3-Extension or QE4 program will be announced to take the place of the expiring Operation Twist, the maturities extension program (MEP) in place since June 2011, which expanded the Fed's balance sheet at a pace of $45 billion per month (selling short-term securities for those with longer durations). This discussion will take place irrespective of the November NFPs, reducing their signficance even further. This could be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event, if the only measures taken are extending the low rates language into 2015 and expanding the size of the QE3 asset purchases.

Any other trade ideas and general macroeconomic musings can be found in the Real Time Newsfeed, or by following me on twitter @CVecchioFX.

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.