Price & Time: Euro Weakness Into Quarter-end?
- EUR/USD pushed to a new high for the month
- Stalls near former high
Unfamiliar with Gann Square Root Relationships? Learn more about them HERE.
EUR/USD traded to a new high for the month on Thursday and came within a few pips of testing the mid-May closing high before rolling over. The big question surrounding recent movements in the exchange rate is whether the advance of the past few weeks has been the start of another leg higher within the multi-month correction or is it just some sort of backtest of the mid-may high before a more important euro decline? Near-term cyclical analysis suggests that if it has just been some sort of backtest then EUR/USD shouldn’t really rally past today. A break of median-line channel support around 1.1230 would help confirm this change in behavior and re-focus lower. New highs for the month after today would be seen as a bullish development that would help clear the path for a much more important correction higher in the euro.
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EUR/USD Daily Chart: June 19, 2015
ChartPrepared by Kristian Kerr
Key Event Risk in the Week Ahead:
LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance: 1.1390 (Gann), 1.1465 (May high)
Support: 1.1275 (Gann) 1.1230 (Andrews)
Strategy: Sell EUR/USD
Entry: Sell EUR/USD at 1.1390
Stop: Daily close above 1.1465
--- Written by Kristian Kerr, Senior Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
To contact Kristian, e-mail firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow me on Twitter at@KKerrFX.
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.