John Kicklighter

John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Markets On High Alert as S&P 500 Turns, Flash Crashes Strike, NFPs Ahead

The S&P 500 and Dow would make a move that signals to technical traders an ominous progression for an overriding bearish trend. Will trade wars, flash crashes and NFPs accelerate or stabilize our...

As the Dollar Hits a Two-Year High, Assessing its Drive

Whatever drives the US Dollar will most likely dictate the course of the global financial system. From broad risk trends to global monetary policy to a lack of options, this currency can be a key bar...

S&P 500, Yen and Dollar Offer Mixed Risk Picture to Start the Year

While the S&P 500 managed a recovery through active trade Wednesday, the official start of the new trading year came with much more uncertainty – including a Yen pairs flash crash – t...

Top Trade Idea for 2019: Long Pound, Short US Equities, Long Gold

Looking back over this past year, we have seen a number of asset classes that are otherwise unrelated with the exception of their connection to sentiment slide significantly. I expect risk aversion t...

US Dollar Q1 Fundamental Forecast: USD Buffeted by Market Volatility, Fed, Politics

The fundamental backdrop looks exceptionally tumultuous with several conflicting themes and complications making it difficult for the market to establish a prevailing trend.

Top Trading Lessons of 2018

A good trader never stops learning, and every mistake is another potential learning experience. Here are some of the top lessons our analysts learned, absorbed or suffered from our personal experienc...

A Few Key Market and Economic Themes for 2019

Volatility was a troubling feature of the landscape through the past year, but the final month of 2018 has seriously changed the mentality in the market. With a long list of systemic fundamental thre...

What to Expect from Trading Conditions Heading into the New Year

What is typically a quiet, early wrap up of liquidity turned into a troubling route. The S&P 500 triggered its worst single-week loss in 7 years on the back of the worst month in a decade, making...

If Risk Aversion Picks Up, Where do the Different Markets Stand?

Correlation along risk trends is intensifying, as US equities may suffer more under further risk aversion while gold and Franc are better havens.

S&P 500 and High Yield Credit Extend Plunge as Government Shutdown Threat Revived

Post-Fed risk aversion has been renewed by the treat of a US government shutdown, adding fundamental weight to an existing downtrend.

Fed Pulls the Trigger on Rates and Seemingly the S&P 500

As the Federal Reserve hiked rates and forecasted two more increases in 2019 leading to losses in the S&P 500, liquidity drain and other improved themes will work against risk trends.

A Critical Fed Decision’s Policy and Market Response Scenarios

The Federal Reserve is due to announce its final monetary policy decision of the year with forecasts of a 25 basis point hike priced in and speculation of three hikes through 2019 under serious scrut...

S&P 500 Threatening to Jump Into a Bear Trend on Any Fed Misstep

The stakes couldn’t be higher. The S&P 500 and Dow are standing on the cusp of a high profile reversal pattern, defying December’s liquidity conventions and now a key Fed decision app...

Why the Fed Won’t Relent to Trump’s Calls to Hike Rates, But the Market...

Once again, the US President Donald Trump has weighed in on the Fed’s plans to continue with its path of monetary policy tightening. Just a few days away, will the central bank heed his calls a...

Did the S&P 500 Just Set Up a True Reversal in December, Before the Fed?

The S&P 500 dove to start the week defying both seasonal expectations and the norms of a downgrade in activity to observe for critical event risk (the Fed decision). Did this risk benchmark commi...

Weekly Technical Forecast: Dollar Tests 18 Month Highs While US Indices Break Support for an Interest Week Ahead

Liquidity is leaking from the markets fast as the year’s end approaches. That means the ability to leverage technical breaks or reversals into more meaningful runs is growing more and more frau...

Dollar Hits an 18-Month High as Anti-Currency Demand Fights Liquidity

The DXY Dollar Index managed to charge to its highest level since June 2017 this past Friday. The insinuation of a breakout fueled by a ‘demand for alternatives’ against a known liquidity...

S&P 500 Ends Week with a Disputed Technical Breakdown, Key Fed Decision Ahead

Once again, the markets have left traders in an uncomfortable position with key equity indices putting in for a tentative bearish breakdown through Friday’s close. Is there enough liquidity and...

A Critical Fed Decision is Only the Surface of Monetary Policy Upheaval

Stimulus and zero-level interest rates have spurred the markets to an unprecedented period of speculative abundance. They have also severely distorted the markets’ ability to signal value. Now,...

EURUSD May Habor a Reversal Pattern but ECB Reaction Shows the Trading Reality

The ECB has called an end to its QE program, breathing room has been given in Brexit and US oil has seen a technical break; yet is there meaningful trade potential for EURUSD, GBPUSD or crude?