John Kicklighter

John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



China Markets and Yuan Revive Trade War Fears, Italy Inflames Europe

The fear in bond yields’ surge this past week has cooled, but concern over China and Italy have readily filled in the sentiment gap.

Weekly Technical Forecast: Is This a Pause or Reversal for the Strong Dollar and Equities Climb

A steady, tandem climb for the US Dollar and US equities these past few weeks hit the skids. Are these benchmarks going to reverse course and leverage the broader FX and risk-based capital markets to...

Dollar Caps Longest Run of the Year Just After Notching a Breakout

Dollar rally lost steam immediately after hitting a potential breakout this past week. Is the market setting up another false breakout reversal or is this just a pause before the real bullish move is...

What the ’Surge’ in Yields Means for the Dollar, Wall Street, Gold?

US 10-year Treasury yields charged above 3.2 percent this past week – pushing the benchmark to a more than 7-year high. Does this – and other global rates – advance carry the standa...

A Mere Pause or True Reversal for EURUSD and S&P 500 Next Week?

Both the Dollar and US equities suffered a hit this past week. Are these moves simply the natural ebb and flow of a prevailing trend or the start of something more troubling and systemic?

Dollar Rally Wavers Just after EURUSD’s Break and Before NFPs

Both the US Dollar and equity indices have suffered a notable technical slide this past session. Are we facing a seismic slide in yield advantage and risk trends or is this simply preparation for Fri...

Reliable Market Calm or Conditions More Akin to February SPX and VIX Explosions?

Quiet can be encouraging for a market. It can reflect a conviction – especially during true bull trends. Yet, quiet in the face of palpable fundamental and speculative risks can signal complace...

Dollar Bowls Through Resistance on its 6-Day Charge, Pangs of Concern from US Equities

While DXY Dollar Index extends run to six straight days, S&P 500 and Dow momentum is still absent. Italy and Brexit weigh on the Euro and Pound.

A Long Way Until a True Euro-Area Crisis or Even Deep Euro Fear

The Euro has dropped significantly over the past week as Italy escalates the pressure on Euro-area stability. As threatening as the headlines may read, be wary of what you expect form the currency an...

The NAFTA Tail Wind Dies Down, EURUSD Weighs its Tempo at 1.1500

The favorable winds from a NAFTA breakthrough pushing trade war sails seems to have already hit the irons. Meanwhile EURUSD is in a position to make an important technical call on conviction.

What Does the NAFTA Deal Mean for the Dollar, Loonie and Trade Wars?

Although both Canadian Dollar and Dow surged on a renegotiated NAFTA deal, implications for USD. MXN, and risk are limited.

Dow and Loonie Gap Higher on NAFTA Replacement, US Oil Hits 4-Year High

The Canadian Dollar surged on news of a renegotiated NAFTA deal, while the Euro has held steadfast in the wake of EU struggles with Italy.

Fourth Quarter Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities, and More

The third quarter is now in the books, and the final three months of the year should produce opportunities across asset classes.

US Dollar Q4 Forecast: Dollar Feels Pressure of Its Trade Wars, Politics, Fed

The US Dollar has proven resilient in the months since US President Trump declared that “trade wars are good, and easy to win.”

The S&P 500 is Due for a Break, the Dollar a Stall to Start 4Q

We are entering a new trading week, month and quarter. Historically, October represents one of the heaviest volume and highest volatility months of the calendar year. Paired with systemic risks, what...

Dollar Break Higher a Move of Restraint, S&P Puts In Another Tail

Market pacing between the Dollar and S&P 500 seems to have reversed. The US indices reverted to range this week while the Greenback produced a bullish break. Now, are these moves that will persis...

A Week After the Break, The Chances for a EURUSD Trend

Not long ago, EURUSD triggered a remarkable technical signal when it broke above 1.1700 and in turn completed a textbook reversal pattern. And yet, there is good reason to doubt this trade will fill ...

A Post-Fed Retreat Puts S&P 500 in Position to Reverse, Dollar Absorbs Trump

Despite the Federal Reserve extending its multi-year normalization scheme – and the contrast it draws to major counterparts – the Dollar spun its tires after Wednesday’s rate hike w...

This Fed Rate Decision Matters - Now What to Expect from the Dollar?

If you are trading the Dollar, US capital market benchmarks or just risk-sensitive assets in general; the upcoming FOMC rate decision is important. The group is set to hike rates yet again, but that ...

Extreme Speculative Positioning on Dollar, Gold and Oil

Speculative readings from several Dollar-based majors, gold, Treasuries, and oil offer different signals as to whether markets are at extremes.