John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Something to Consider Before Trading EUR/USD Gap, SPX Charge, Dollar Breakdown

The Euro soared after the first round of France's presidential election but is the outcome motivation enough to sustain a lasting bullish trend?

Money and Risk Management Are Cornerstones to Good Trading

Many novice traders try for a trading career without understanding risk management. Unrealistic expectations are one of the loudest siren calls that run them into the rocks.

Expect Dollar, Euro, Pound Volatility but Question Trend Amid Heavy Event Risk

From start to finish, the coming trading week is loaded with high profile event risk - the type that can readily produce extreme volatility and even develop trend with theproper outcome.

Trader Preparation for US 1Q GDP and Other High Profile Event Risk

There is little arguing that event risk - both scheduled and unscheduled - can lead to significant volatility or trend change in the market.

EUR/USD Faces Heavy Winds, Risk and Pound Moves Give Way to What’s Ahead

Surprise volatility is giving way to heightened anticipation. The remarkable moves we saw arises in the Pound, Euro and volatility this week have all been checked.

Think Hard About Holding Euro, Dollar, Risk Trades Over the Weekend

When markets are too thin we run the risk of running aground. During full drains - as occurs during the weekends - there is no room to maneuver.

GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Breaks Fizzle, Kiwi Rallies on CPI, Oil Tumbles

The Pound still holds the title of this week's biggest mover across the financial system, but volatility certainly doesn't guarantee follow through.

How a Return to Carry Trade for AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY Will Really Play Out

Investors expect to be compensated for the risk they take. At the same time, there are no free lunches - in reality they may come along from time to time but are quickly absorbed by an attentive mark...

UK Election and French Election Force Key GBP/USD, EUR/GBP Breaks

This past session was all but prepared for a subtle review of the stubborn shifts in global risk trends, nuanced changes in rate expectations and fickle headlines relating to relationships between gl...

Brexit Overrides Fed Hikes, Elections and Risk Trends for Pound Pairs

The Pound posted its third largest single-day rally since the height of volatility back during the Great Financial Crisis. The catalyst for the move was uniquely UK-derived with Brexit driving specul...

Exposure and Activity Analysis For EUR/USD, VIX, Oil and More

Market conditions as an analysis approach is open to considerable interpretation and ambiguity itself - in fact many usually fold it into their preferred technical or fundamental evaluations

Beware Risk Trends Ignoring US Data, North Korea

The stumble in risk trends that hit last week before holiday liquidity froze all the markets in place didn't survive the thaw Monday.

US Dollar Little Changed After TIC Data Shows Investment Inflow

The US Dollar offered a restrained reaction to the release of the February TIC data showing an inflow of capital and foreign appetite for US assets.

US Dollar Losing Fed Lift, Gambles with Trade, Hopes for Risk

The US Dollar stalled in the first quarter of 2017. It may continue to struggle through mid-year as rates-based support wobbles but risk aversion may offer prices a lifeline.

Volatility Measures Suggest a Storm Over Medium Term for Equities, FX, More

The market's favorite volatility measures come with their fair share of flaws. However, the financial weather updates they offer are worth monitoring for periods of storm and calm.

Dollar Recovers from Trump’s Concerns, S&P 500 Breaks Just before Holiday

The holiday conditions we immediately find ourselves in and the limited high-profile events next week will not make it easy to spot any imminent threats on the horizon.

S&P 500, USD/JPY, VIX Moves Raise ’Risk Aversion’ Threat/Hope

The temptation was high this past session. While there wasn't much depth to the 'risk' conviction in the market, there certainly was depth.

A EUR/USD Trend Above 1.15 or Below 1.00 Rests with Systemic Themes

It's easy to narrow our focus for just the purposes of evaluating and taking our next trade. Given the need to filter a sometimes overwhelming amount of information, that can often be seen as the wis...

A Rebound for VIX and EVZ Don’t Stage Massive S&P 500, EUR/USD Moves

With hope for meaningful swings fading further due to the expected holiday drain this week, it was surprising to see key volatility measures on the rise Monday.

Focus Makes Trade Analysis of S&P 500, Dollar or Monetary Policy Viable

While knowledge and experience are certainly critical facets to any trade effort, a frequent limitation that keeps us from success in the markets is more fundamental: focus