John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Risk Shudders, Banxico Jolts Peso, Dollar Still Unfazed by Fed Chatter

Today marks the end of the trading week and month. Historically, September represents one of the calendar year's highest average months for volatility (VIX) levels and the worst month for risk trends'...

Deutsche Bank Isn’t Lehman Brothers, But It Can Still Spur Systemic Risk

Lehman Brothers is the standard-bearer for all current financial fears - from small to systemic.

Monetary Policy Wars Will Outweigh Political Influence for USD/MXN

With the rise of political coverage by mainstream and financial news outlets, it shouldn't surprise that an exchange rate like USD/MXN is being interpreted for its role in this dynamic given its posi...

Oil Prices Surge on OPEC Deal, Dollar Weathers Fed Talk

Another fundamental event has generated an inordinately large volatility response from a particular corner of the market, and again broader conditions have checked its development.

Oil Rallies and USD/CAD Tanks As OPEC Announces Output Cap Plans

US Crude Oil prices rallied and the Canadian Dollar strengthened on news of a supposed OPEC agreement to freeze production in November.

Unusual US Presidential Election Risk for Dollar and S&P 500

There is a lot of hype around the economic and financial disaster that can befall an economy if the wrong candidate is voted into office.

Will a Gaggle of Fed Speakers Move Dollar, Rate Expectations?

Event risk continues to stuff the headlines, but the markets remain immune to the dire interpretations given through the ticker.

Range or Break for Dollar, Pound Crosses at Technical Boundaries?

The week has kicked off with an ember glowing from the top three global themes this past week: risk trends, Dollar bearings post FOMC and Yen finding its way after the BoJ stimulus twist.

Range or Breakouts for S&P 500, USD/JPY, GBP/USD Next Week?

Market conditions determine what fundamental themes can generate in price action and whether technicals can spark significant changes in market positioning.

Trader Exposure Amplifies Risk, May Cause Liquidity Problems

It's not that investors' appetites for returns has necessarily grown persistently to ever-greater extremes.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Where to for FX Market after Fed and BoJ Adjust, Volatility Cools?

We have passed two weeks of fireworks in volatility and event risk. Will conditions simply settle as they did in July and August; or has a permanent shift been put into motion?

Dollar to be Jostled by Traders Speculation and Fed Officials Forecasts

The Federal Reserve announced to the market a ‘hawkish hold’ at its policy gathering this past week, and in turn offered little resolution to the market’s conflict over the Dollar&r...

Range, Breakout or Trend Amid Monetary Policy Activity, Volatility?

Looking for trend trades in a market mired in ranges or range setups when the landscape is rife with breakouts makes for exceptionally difficult position selection.

Dollar Ready for Rebound, Pound Rises as Brexit Fears Ease at BoE

In the wake of the BoJ stimulus twist and Fed rate hold, two prominent market moves arose: a bid for risk and a dive from the Dollar.

A Close Watch on USD/JPY, GBP/USD and SPX In Central Bank Afterglow

The central banks have run their show, and the markets have once again voted with skepticism. Another unorthodox move from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) sees a shift of focus to long-term rates and help to...

The State and Influence of Global Monetary Policy After Fed, BoJ

While the immediate volatility following the collective influence of the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan rate decisions was restrained, the fundamental influence to the system is particularly weigh...

Fed, BoJ and RBNZ Will Move More than Dollar, Yen and Kiwi

We have entered into a particularly risky and likely volatile period for trading. Through Wednesday's session, the fundamental winds will pick up abruptly with the combination of the Bank of Japan's ...

Dollar and S&P 500 Trading Strategy for Fed Decision

Whether you are trading the Dollar, US equities, global equities, Treasuries or any of the major asset classes; you should tune in to the FOMC rate decision Wednesday.

Forecast - The Clash of the Fed, BoJ and RBNZ Rate Decision

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading.

BoJ Faces Fading Confidence in Stimulus, Skeptical Yen Trader

While global investors will direct much of their attention this week on the Fed rate decision, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) deliberations are just as important.

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