John Kicklighter

John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Has the Dollar Done Enough to Enter a Full Bear Trend?

The ICE Dollar Index and EURUSD couldn’t have offered up a more loaded technical break against the Greenback. Yet, as ideal as the charts may look, we should do our due diligence in assessing t...

Dow Leads an Indisputable Risk Advance; Dollar, Pound and Kiwi Top FX Movers

With the Dow, EEM emerging market ETF and Yen crosses all rising in tandem; it was clear risk trends were rising this past session. Where is this motivation coming from, and will it last for the spec...

Could a Desperate SNB Trigger a EURCHF, Swiss Franc Reversal?

Though the Swiss Franc has been remarkably strong, a desperate Swiss National Bank could possibly trigger a reversal, especially in EURCHF.

Dow Charges Higher Oblivious of Trade Wars, Dollar Moves Towards Inevitable Break

As risk trends still advance and the US Dollar moves toward possibly breaking, Brexit talks, the SNB rate decision, and US-Canada negotiations are in focus next.

Activity Levels for Australian and New Zealand Dollars Hit Extremes

Although knocked off their carry trade perches, the Australian Dollar still has a catalyst in China-relations and the New Zealand Dollar looks to 2Q GDP.

Fresh US-China Trade Wars and Brexit Concerns Start Week, But Dollar and Pound Stoic

The top reserve status of the US Dollar is not permanent. Trade worries may pressure this, as the Trump administration announced new tariffs on $200b of Chinese goods.

A Convergence of Technicals and Fundamentals May Stage Yen Trade Opportunities

When technicals and fundamentals align, strong trade opportunities can arise. With the Yen crosses nearing prominent resistance, a tide change in risk trends could stage some appealing opportunities...

Dollar Is Closing in On a Break that Either Extends Trend or Triggers Reversal

The Dollar’s range is starting to represent one of the longest periods of indecision for the currency in four years. A break is inevitable but the question is ‘how soon’ and whether...

A Pattern of Week-Ending Worry as Markets Look for a EURUSD and S&P 500 Break

Just before the weekend liquidity drain can solidify confidence in complacency, headlines seem to rock investors' tranquility. Is ths on purpose and what should we take away from these last minute sur...

A Quick Fundamental Overview of the Dollar, Euro, Pound and Yen

There is only a relative strength and weakness in the FX market. However, the options for true liquidity are generally restricted to four key players. We take a big-picture look at the appeal of thos...

S&P 500 Posts a Gap Not a Breakaway, Euro and Pound After Policy Holds

Gaps higher this past session for US indices and the EEM Emerging Market ETF offer little enthusiasm for genuine risk appetite. EURUSD and GBPUSD offer similar bearings but with different degrees of ...

What to Expect from the Euro and Pound Through ECB, BoE Decisions

While neither the ECB nor the BoE are likely to change their benchmark rate policies this week, their projections and the unique fixation on their respective fundamental backdrop can still render the...

Risk Warms on Mere Mention of US-China Talks, Avoid EURGBP Through ECB and BoE Decisions

The US and China are reportedly due to return to talks, but is that encouraging enough to return the S&P 500 and Dow to record highs? Meanwhile, monetary policy will return to the headlines with ...

Identifying the Top Fundamental Drivers for Dollar, Pound, Gold and Treasuries

Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluations and establish the potential for follow through.

S&P 500 and Emerging Markets Set Market Contrast, Don’t Expect Much from the Euro and Pound

Confusion is returning to risk trends groaning under the weight of key fundamental themes without clear bearing. Meanwhile, clear fundamental charge for the Dollar, Euro and Pound will likely hold of...

Four Relative Positions in Gold, Oil, FX Majors and Tech Shares for Signal and Opportunity

Gold’s performance relative to silver may make its haven status more appealing. Other assets are also worth watching for the influence of tariffs.

Dow and Emerging Markets Cool Bullish Risk View, Pound Rallies While Franc Tumbles

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ gapped higher at the start of the week, but upside momentum lacked follow-through. Meanwhile, GBP and CHF made significant moves.

Weekly Technical Forecast: EURUSD Awaits Its Break Cue while Aussie and Equities Continue Their Slide

We have transitioned out of the liquidity trap of Summer trading conditions, but that hasn’t put us immediately back on the path of a clear trend for the FX and capital markets. With some bench...

Dollar Best Hope to Stave Off Head-and-Shoulders Breakdown is a Euro Drop

Volatility factored in for the Dollar this past week, but a break and trend continues to elude the currency. Keep as close an eye on activity levels and participation as you do on the key levels like...

President Trump Raises the Trade War Stakes, Wind Up for Pound, Loonie, Gold

Rather than a quiet end to the week, FX and capital markets were dealt further trade war leverage when President Trump threatened further escalation on China to the tune of $267 billion. Will this en...