John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Volatility Unsettles Rather Reassures and FX Activity Is Leading the Way

Volatility measures for many of the key asset classes have withdrawn to remarkably low levels. However, the backdrop for market risk and the persistence of FX volatility signal conditions are far mor...

USD Rally Fades, CAD Attempts Trend, Risk Aversion Gains Purchase

Volatility continues to churn in the FX and capital markets, leading to some tempting technical breaks and early signs of trend.

Video: The Difficulty with Top Hedge Fund Managers’ Trade Ideas

The world's largest hedge fund managers didn't come to manage billions of dollars for investors for poor performance and crazy ideas.

Central Banks Losing Influence Drives Dollar, Euro and Yen

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading.

Video: Trend Potential Behind Abrupt Dollar Rally, Aussie Plunge?

The Dollar has posted its biggest daily rally in six months, but does this look like a convincing recovery for the battered currency?

Strategy Video: Individual Technical Analysis for Dollar, Euro, Yen

In FX fundamental analysis, the evaluation is often initiated with a review of a single, market-moving currency. Can we do the the same with technicals?

Trading Video: Dollar Continues to Dive While Yen Goads BoJ

The drive behind this past week's most profound trends has softened to start off this new trading period, but the bearings remain.

Cognitive Biases Can Slow Our Appreciation of Market Shifts

Traders are not robots, which is why the market builds on trends of speculation and sometimes-'irrational' expectations.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Systemic Changes Afoot for Risk, EURUSD, USDJPY?

Though still early yet, there have been some remarkable change in trend recently. Dollar is in retreat with the S&P 500 starting to slip. The Yen has surged while Gold has hit 15-month highs. Is ...

Dollar Struggles as Rate Disbelief Lingers, Euro and Yen Gain Ground

The Dollar dove to end this past week at its lowest level in 11 months. The extension of the currency’s slide from its 13-year high set back in late January (now down over 4.5 percent) was fuel...

US Dollar Shrugs Off Decline in Preferred Fed Inflation Figure

The US Dollar showed a limited response after the Fed’s preferred measure for inflation - personal consumption expenditures – slipped from a three-year high.

Trading Video: Risk Aversion Emerges as Dollar and USD/JPY Dive

The fires were stoked through the close this past week. Both the Dollar and Yen crosses extended their dive tallying remarkable lows and exceptional pace.

Diversifying Themes of Risk Trends and BoJ Doubt Beyond USD/JPY

USD/JPY has suffered its biggest one-week decline since the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy that pitched the global financial system into tumult back in late 2008.

Dollar and Yen Crosses Threatening Full-Blown Bear Trends

The Yen crosses were upended by the Bank of Japan's decision to hold steady. USDJPY and key pairs stand on the verge of a more systemic bear trend.

Will the USDJPY’s Extreme Drop Stall or Revive Bear Trend?

The hold on monetary policy by the BoJ last night triggered one of the biggest USDJPY declines in decades. This move carries a lingering tension for the markets.

Will the Next Fed Hike Sink Market Confidence or Bolster It?

It seems relatively straightforward: the tightening of US monetary policy undermines investor confidence that has been significantly buoyed by their and other central banks' extreme support.

Video: Unexpected Moves after Fed and RBNZ, BoJ and US GDP Ahead

The order of importance of this past session's event risk didn't match the order for which it impacted the market.

Fed, BoJ and RBNZ Decisions Ahead Threaten Heavy FX Volatility

Wednesday will kick off a 72-hour spree of high-level event risk. And, given the markets skittishness, conditions are ripe for fireworks.

Dollar and Equities Strategy Heading for Fed Decision

Amid a 72 hour deluge of high-level event risk, one particular calendar item stands above the rest: the Fed rate decision.

Forecast - A Heavy Event Risk Week Will Center on the FOMC Decision

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading.

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