John Kicklighter

John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Among Emerging Market Currencies, USDMXN Is a Pair to Watch

In the hierarchy of risk-connected assets, emerging markets have proven one of the most productive (bearish) markets. And, within this vast group, one of my favorite outlets is USDMXN.

Trade War Rumors Return, S&P 500 Drops on Week’s First Session

The return of liquidity did few favors for the burgeoning risk appetite reach. A backlog of concern over Chinese GDP from Monday met fresh rumors (this time bad) on trade negotiations to trigger a re...

S&P 500 Risk Charge Hits Chinese GDP, IMF Downgrade, Trade War Damage Tally

The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the IMF forecas...

Trade Wars, Politics and Other Key Themes to Watch Next Week

Markets are driving forward despite the interference of distinctly disappointing event risk. It is important to know what dominant themes are influencing markets and where they currently stand.

Gauging Dow and Dollar Recoveries Against Shutdown, Trade Wars and Politics

The S&P 500 has shrugged off fundamental threats to surpass the midpoint of its three-month tumble. How will Chinese 4Q GDP, the trade war and ongoing government shutdown effect this effort?

S&P 500 Returns to its Critical Break Point, Pound Steady Through Second Vote

The S&P 500 and Dow are moving back up to the levels that triggered the critical bearish breakdown for both over a month ago. Will themes like the shutdown and trade wars offer a cue or perhaps N...

Amid Brexit Volatility, Trade War Pain, Earnings - Volatility but No Direction

There is an overabundance of high profile fundamental risk floating in the global markets. Yet despite the potential this would insinuate for the markets, volatility is refusing to settle on a clear ...

A Pound Rally on May’s Brexit Proposal Defeat?

Parliament dealt Prime Minister May a sound – record – defeat on her Brexit proposal Tuesday. Normally, this would be grounds for an epic Sterling tumble, yet the currency did exactly the...

Weekly Technical Forecast: Will Liquidity Define the Equities, EURUSD and Oil Reversals?

Though the intensity of their corrections vary - from the Dollar just recently slipping range support to the S&P 500 trying to claw out of its 'bear market' - we have seen a number of markets wal...

Dollar Has Made the Bearish Break, Now It Is Looking for Momentum

The Dollar finally broke from its restrictive two-month range this past week, but the fledgling bearish breakdown has proven tepid when it comes to momentum. Will the markets find more charge in subs...

Dollar Has Made the Bearish Break, Now It Is Looking for Momentum

The Dollar finally broke from its restrictive two-month range this past week, but the fledgling bearish breakdown has proven tepid when it comes to momentum. Will the markets find more charge in subs...

What If Critical Fundamental Threats Evaporated and Markets Still Dropped?

There are a host of systemic fundamental threats lurking beneath the market’s surface, each with the capacity to trigger collapse. Yet, their existence may also act as a temporary prop in the f...

Dubious of EURUSD’s Breakout, Should I Fade It?

EURUSD finally cleared a multi-month range with explicit technical implications, but the breakout appeal this pattern may harbor for many is proving

Brexit and Earnings May Take the Market’s Wheel Over Shutdown and Trade Wars

Risk trends put in for a solid extension of a still-nascent rebound this past week. With the S&P 500 pondering life at former support, we have to identify what can reasonably drive the market&rsq...

Dow and Dollar in Holding Pattern as US Government Shutdown Matches the Record

Risk trends and US indices are still pointing higher despite the threat from the US government shutdown and trade wars. How long can this charge last, and why isn’t the Dollar suffering by asso...

How are Traders Approaching Key S&P 500, EURUSD and Oil Key Moves?

How are traders’ managing the S&P 500’s attempt to pare large losses and crude oil prices’ rebound? DailyFX sentiment data can offer a closer look.

EURUSD Finally Breaks but Does It Rally and Will SPX Overcome the Shutdown?

The DXY Dollar Index faces a tentative reversal due to dovish Fed language, leading EUR/USD to finally clear 1.1500 resistance.

EURUSD, S&P 500, Oil - A Principle Reversal Ingredient

Reversals are infrequent occurrences in the market, but they are among traders most frequent pursuits. And while ’V-tops’ would be ideal, head-and-shoulders patterns are more practical. Y...

S&P 500 Climb Slows as Trade Wars Headlines Questioned, Dollar Avoids Break for Now

The Dollar has pulled back from the technical ledge as a laundry list of issues prevent the currency from seizing on a particular threat. Meanwhile, the S&P 500’s climb is slowing, and with...

A Dollar Reversal Not Universally Staged and S&P 500’s Difficult Path

US equities have extended Friday’s tentative break back above a technically-loaded pivot point, but the fundamentals are unmistakably uneven. Meanwhile, the Dollar is on the cusp of a reversal ...