John Kicklighter

John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Weekly Technical Forecast: Dow Eases Back from Record, Dollar Struggles to Light Fuse, Gold Holds Its Break

There is a clear inconsistency in both activity level and bearing across the standard benchmarks of the speculative markets. With the Dollar suffering a jolt without a trend, Dow and other indices ha...

Australian Dollar: Is This a True Bullish Reversal?

AUDUSD triggered one of the most recognizable reversal patterns in the technical scales this past week: an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. But is this a spark that can truly catch fire in otherwi...

Expect More Dollar and Dow Volatility on Fed Speculation, Trade Wars, US GDP

A mere anticipation for Friday’s US 2Q GDP release or isolated Euro response to the ECB rate decision ahead is no longer the easy course to expect from markets. Trade wars, recession fears and ...

EURUSD At the Crossroads of Most Critical Volatility Lines

There are a host of fundamental themes converging over the coming week with a high probability of volatility along each line. It just so happens that most of them hold considerable influence for the ...

Dollar Tumbles as 50bp Fed Cut Baked In But Beware EURUSD, AUDUSD Trades

Trade wars and growth forecasts continued to form an uneven path for the markets, but speculative drive seems to have taken a significant tug in attention. A surge in expected Fed cut forecasts has s...

S&P 500 Retreat May Accelerate on NFLX, IMF Gives Trump Dollar Ammo

US earnings may once again take the tiller for global sentiment, but this time around it is hitting both systemic fears and general risk appetite. Meanwhile, trade war warnings are accompanied by vie...

Pound Collapse Continues Unrestrained by Brexit Uncertainty

Where most of the markets and currencies are struggling to carry a clear move one week to the next, the British Pound proves consistently the exception to the rule. Yet, how reliable is this impressi...

Dollar Rallies as Euro and Pound Retreat, Data Versus Systemic Themes

US indices just started to issues technical signals to suggest a more serious turn may catch traction, but a fundamental catalyst is still unsecured. Meanwhile, the FX market was far more active with...

Dow Hits Record High on Most Reserved Activity Since December 2017

The Dow has posted yet another record high and yet it still manages to offer up no enthusiasm in the anticipation of its higher probability course. Quiet in its climb seems to draw far more concern t...

S&P 500 Record High and Gold Builds Breakout Pressure Under Growth, Trade Wars

The S&P 500 notched yet another record high to start this new trading week, but the volume and progress on the day did little to alleviate doubts. With growth and trade fears rising, my focus on ...

Weekly Technical Forecast: S&P 500 Closes at Record High, Gold Stalls, Dollar Breakouts Fail

We opened this past week to broad rally – for equities, gold and the US Dollar. Yet, by the Friday close, only one of those assets was still under the bulls’ control. Will indices like the...

Weekly Technical Forecast: S&P 500 Closes at Record High, Gold Stalls, Dollar Breakouts Fail

We opened this past week to broad rally – for equities, gold and the US Dollar. Yet, by the Friday close, only one of those assets was still under the bulls’ control. Will indices like the...

Dollar Faces Plenty of Volatility, But Clear Trend is Another Matter…

The Dollar’s recovery attempt came to an abrupt halt this past week following heavily-circulated Fed headlines. Now imbued with greater volatility in news fixation, what can we expect from actu...

AUDUSD Preps a Clean Reversal Pattern but Dollar, China GDP Complicate

There is a provocative inverse head-and-shoulders set for AUDUSD. A pattern ubiquitous with charged reversals but conditions and similarly disrupted patterns should throttle our anticipation for more...

Dow’s Record Highs and Gold’s Congestion Shift from Fed Hopes to Growth, Trade Fears

The markets have made a shrine to the Fed’s dovish policy shift in the form of the Dow’s record highs. Unfortunately for the bulls, this theme is likely to fade while trade wars and growt...

Dow Hits a Record High, So Why Didn’t the S&P 500, Nasdaq or Russell 2000?

The Dow hit a record high this past session having cleared 27,000. Taken alone, this would seem a reassuring development, but the uneven performance of other US indices raises some concern.

Dollar Tumble Halted by CPI, Dow Ignores Fresh Trade War Threats Beyond US-China

Fed Chairman Powell kept the drum beat for a dovish policy shift to support speculative interest, but it may have been the ECB’s insights that truly move the needle. Meanwhile, trade wars are j...

USDJPY and Gold Show What Fed Support Can Truly Offer Market

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and the FOMC minutes have stirred the market, but what direct implications carry more weight: a deflated Dollar premium or a boost to global risk trends smitten with stimul...

Dollar Drop More Reliable than S&P 500 Record High as Fed Readies Rate Cut

The first day of Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony set dovish convictions at ease with a boost to risk trends and a retreat n the Dollar. Which of these nascent moves have true potential into the...

Dollar, S&P 500 and Gold on Volatility Watch as Powell Set to Testify

After a few days of uneasy chop, the markets are due to move back into important fundamental waters with Fed speculation expected through Chairman Powell testimony and FOMC minutes. Watch the Dollar ...