John Kicklighter

Chief Currency Strategist

Fundamental analysis and market themes.
John Kicklighter is a Senior Currency Strategist and head of DailyFX in New York City and San Francisco where he specializes in combining fundamental and technical analysis with money management. Actively trading since he was a teenager, his experience ranges from spot currency, financial futures, commodities, stocks and options on all these instruments for his personal accounts. He holds a Finance and Investment degree from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City.



Monetary Policy is More than Just the FX Market’s Dominant Theme

Contrasting - some would say competing - monetary policy regimes is arguably one of the most effective driving forces in the currency market.

Dollar, Euro and Pound Await Fed, Draghi and Carney Commentary

The new trading week has kicked off with the familiar wrestle for control between the financial systems two dominant themes: risk trends and monetary policy.

Weekly Trading Forecast: US and UK GDP Look to Charge Fed and Brexit Speculation

Volatility has picked up for the FX market these past weeks, but keeping the charge will require further fundamental winds. Will event risk like US and UK 3Q GDP readings step up the task?

Is This A Dollar Rally or EUR/USD Tumble – It’s Not the Same Thing

The ICE Dollar Index (DXY) posted another impressive week’s advance through this past Friday. That marks three consecutive weeks that the benchmark currency has climbed to eight-month highs.

Forex Video: Dollar Trend, S&P 500 Break or USD/CAD Range?

What kind of markets are we dealing with: Range, trend or breakout? It is a simple question, but too often overlooked as we jump from trade to trade.

Strategy Video: The Risk of Deleveraging Through Year’s End

A watched pot never boils. The same lesson seems to apply to the markets.

Another Retreat for Oil, Euro Slides after ECB, SPX Throttles DAX

Tentative breakouts and trends are being being cut down before they can even gain traction.

What is Driving New Zealand, Australian Dollars to Bigger Trends?

Over the past weeks, we have focused on major themes (risk, monetary policy), event risk (NFPs, rate decisions) and the most liquid currencies (Dollar, Euro, Yuan).

What GBP/USD and EUR/JPY Can Tell Us About AUD/USD’s Breakout

What separates a good breakout trade from a bad one? Follow through.

Will the ECB Taper and Lift Euro, Oil Returns to Crucial Resistance

One major event risk has passed without market detonation, but we are quickly moving into the next threat to stability.

What Would Drive GBP/USD to Parity or Back to 1.3000?

GBP/USD has dropped to fresh multi-decade lows this month and done so in dramatic fashion. In the aftermath of the remarkable collapse post Brexit vote, it would seem that this scale of risk and mome...

Risk Trends Defer Critical Call, Dollar Unmoved by CPI, China GDP

With tension building for Dollar-based majors and risk-oriented benchmarks like global equity indexes, markets chose to pull back into complacency rather than make the difficult decision of committin...

S&P 500 Pattern Looking Dangerous, Dollar Climb Already Slipping

Tension over an extended period of time breeds complacency. That is the sentiment surrounding stretched risk exposure throughout the financial system but is particularly strong with the S&P 500.

What Triggers Next Implosion: Elections, Central Banks, China?

After devastating events like global financial crises, the focus - after the dust settles - to what caused the fire.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Dollar, Euro, Pound and Yuan Compete for Top Volatility

The convergence of event risk and themes is stirring deeper trends in the global markets. Critical themes ahead to watch include Fed timing, Brexit fears, China's health and an ECB turning point

Dollar Run Not As Robust as Bulls Think, Needs Euro or Risk Stumble

How strong is the Dollar? This past week, the DXY Dollar Index posted its most robust weekly advance (1.44 percent) in nearly eight months.

Dollar Rally, ECB, Brexit Sensitive, Chinese GDP Top Themes Ahead

This past week, the S&P 500cleared a number of tentative support levels that have put participants from short-term speculators to more durable buy-and-hold investors on alert.

Will the ECB Signal Taper Next Week and Turn the Euro’s Tide?

Eventually, the European Central Bank (ECB) will back off of its seemingly boundless stimulus program and find itself in the same position the Fed was in a little over three years ago.

Another Risk Slip, Dollar Doesn’t Play Safe Haven Role

We are skipping along the technical edge of a sentiment cliff.

China Data Reminds Traders of its Risk Influence, 3Q GDP Next Week

The market-plunge that took place in August of last year was one of the widest and most intense moves the global financial system has witnessed since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC).

Free Demo Account Free Trading Guides
Real Time News Open FXCM Account
Trading Signals Live Trading Room