Dimitri Zabelin

Dimitri Zabelin

Junior Currency Analyst

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Political economy, economic and market themes.
Dimitri Zabelin is a Junior Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com. He is interested in analyzing how international political economy affects currency markets and focuses on geopolitical shifts that influence asset price expectations. Dimitri holds a masters in Global Political Economy from the University of California, Berkeley.



Australian Dollar Falls as Soft China GDP Hurts RBA Rate Hike Bets

The Australian Dollar and local 2-year bond yields fell as China’s disappointing GDP datacooled RBA interest rate hike bets. Trade wars are also likely continue weighing on the Aussie.

Krona Likely to Suffer as Sweden Fails to Create New Government

The Krona is likely to suffer as political gridlock continues after Moderate Party leader Ulf Kristersson failed in the first post-election attempt to form a government.

Fowl Play: Lessons from the US, EU ’Chicken’ Trade War

The Chicken War of the 1960's should serve as a stern reminder to protectionists of the danger of trade wars and the threat they pose to global growth and stability.

US Sanctions Against Iran May Spark 1970s-Style Oil Crisis Fears

Crude oil markets may become gripped by fears of a 1970s-style crisis as the US re-imposes sanctions on Iran after withdrawing from a nuclear disarmament accord.

Brazilian Real and IBOVESPA Soar with Bolsonaro, Volatility Ahead

Brazilian markets rejoiced as Jair Bolsonaro claimed 46% of the votes on Sunday’s first round elections. Traders hold their breath until the second round on October 28th.

Growth at Risk: Trump Trade Wars Echo Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act

US trade policy in 2018 is worryingly similar to the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act. Protectionism decimated global trade and growth at that time. Will it do it again?

How Will Brazilian Real, Markets React if Bolsonaro Wins?

Brazil’s polarized election is causing significant volatility in the national currency and equity markets. Markets cheer Bolsonaro, but his regime may pose a longer-term threat.

Euro May Fall Further as Italy Clashes With EU on Budget

The Euro may continue to decline alongside Italian bond prices as markets brace for a budget clash between the government in Rome and the EU Commission.

Fourth Quarter Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities, and More

The third quarter is now in the books, and the final three months of the year should produce opportunities across asset classes.

Gold Q4 Forecast: Gold Selloff Likely to Continue as Fed Proceeds with Rate Hikes

Barring an economic collapse that forces the Fed to reverse course, gold is likely to continue its downward trend throughout the fourth quarter.

Euro and Krona at Risk Amid Sweden Political Gridlock

The Euro and Krona are likely to suffer amid political gridlock after September’s inconclusive general election delivered a hung parliament.

Euro at Risk as Italy Prepares to Unveil Budget

The Euro is at risk as Italy prepares to unveil a budget that may – if the new nationalist/populist coalition has its way – turn out to be at odds with European Union rules.

How Will Brazil’s Election Impact Financial Markets?

Uncertainty surrounding Brazil's upcoming elections may push emerging market assets down further as trade wars worsen and the US Dollar strengthens.

US Trade Wars Put Global Economic Growth, Market Stability at Risk

The rise of US economic nationalism has triggered trade wars among the world’s top economies that threaten to derail global growth and financial market stability.

Why Do Swedish Elections Matter for the Euro, Krona, and the EU?

The Euro and Krona are prone to suffer amid the political turmoil leading up to and following Swedish elections as eurosceptic nationalists rise in popularity.

How Will the Euro Be Affected by Italian Economic Nationalism?

The Euro may suffer amid turmoil across global capital markets as the fiscal agenda of the new government in Italythreatens to trigger another Eurozone crisis.

Japanese Yen Looks Past CPI as Markets Eye Fed at Jackson Hole

The Japanese Yen looked past softer local CPI data as the markets focus their attention on the upcoming Jackson Hole Central Baking Symposium where Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak.

’Til Trade Wars Do Us Part: EU, US, and the Iran Nuclear Deal

The Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc may rise if the Trump adminisration’s move to reimpose sanctions on Iran rekindles the EU-US trade war.

Yen Steady After Positive GDP Data Markets Eye US CPI

The Yen remains steady despite positive GDP data, with markets eyeing US inflation data and the outcome of trade talks between US and Japan.

New Zealand Dollar Dips on Soft Unemployment Data, Fed in Focus

The New Zealand Dollar plunged along with 2-year bond yields as unemployment data undershot forecasts, signaling the RBNZ may postpone interest rate hikes further.