David Rodriguez

Quantitative Strategist

Expertise:
Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.
David Rodriguez is a Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX, specializing in statistical studies and the algorithmic trading systems which drive the DailyFX PLUS Trading Signals. He holds a degree in economics from Williams College with heavy emphasis on quantitative methods and began trading financial markets during the tech boom and bust of 1999-2001. Though his focus has shifted to currencies, he keeps his finger on the pulse of a broad range of financial instruments.

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Weekly Trading Forecast: Where to for FX Market after Fed and BoJ Adjust, Volatility Cools?

We have passed two weeks of fireworks in volatility and event risk. Will conditions simply settle as they did in July and August; or has a permanent shift been put into motion?

Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve Keep USD/JPY Downtrend Intact

The USD/JPY may continue its broader trend lower absent material surprises out of a handful of US and Japanese economic data releases.

Has there ever Been a More Critical 12 Hours for the USD/JPY?

The Japanese Yen starts a critical week near the middle of its 3-month trading range, but surprises out of the Bank of Japan or US Federal Reserve could quite easily force the long-awaited USD/JPY br...

Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed and BoJ Rate Decisions, Brexit Fears Carry More than Currency Risks

Event risk over the coming week will no doubt present a high level of volatility risk for key FX players. But, beyond the currency reactions, we will be tapping into themes essential to financial con...

Clear Signs of Danger for US Dollar and Stocks - What to Watch Next

Retail traders have shifted gears on the US Dollar and the US S&P 500. Here are the key reasons we thing the Greenback and stock markets are a near a major turning point.

US S&P 500 Shows Clear Risk of Turn Lower

Retail CFD traders have significantly scaled back short positions on the SPX500, which tracks the US S&P 500. A contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment warns stocks may be at a major turn...

British Pound Looks likely to Hold Key Support

Retail FX traders are once again net-long the British Pound versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment points to further weakness.

Euro Sticks to Key Range for Now – Here’s What We’re Watching

Retail FX traders remain short the Euro versus the US Dollar and have remained short since the pair traded above the $1.10 mark through late July. A contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment c...

Markets Close on Extreme Volatility with Dollar, Yen and Gold Transfixed

A tumble in capital markets and rise in the Dollar to close this past week has set traders' fear and speculation alight. Is a seismic market move underway or is this nervous energy after a long bout ...

British Pound Teeters but isn’t done Rallying Just Yet

The British Pound matched its highest levels since the UK Referendum on the heels of strong industry survey data, but a late-week US Dollar recovery meant the GBP/USD finished lower for the first week in three.

US Dollar Once Again Looks like it might Break Down

Retail forex traders remain aggressively long the US Dollar versus major counterparts. Are further losses all but guaranteed?

US Dollar Remains a Sell versus Japanese Yen

Retail FX traders are once again aggressively net-long the US Dollar versus the Japanese Yen, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment points to further losses.

British Pound Once again at Risk of Turnaround

Retail FX traders have sold into the British Pound’s break higher versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment points to further GBP/USD gains.

Euro Outlook Remains Cautiously Bullish until this Changes

Retail FX traders have sold aggressively into the recent Euro rally versus the US Dollar, and our positioning data shows traders are now at their most net-short EUR/USD since it last traded above $1....

US Dollar Could be on the Brink of a Larger Turn Higher

Retail forex sentiment warns that the US Dollar trend may be turning—particularly in the Euro, Japanese Yen, and versus Gold prices. Here are the warning signs.

US S&P 500 Looks at Danger of Turnaround

US S&P 500– Retail CFD traders remain extremely net-short the SPX500, which tracks the fair value of the S&P E-mini futures contract, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentim...

Gold Prices Suddenly Suggest it’s Time to Sell

Retail FX traders are at their most heavily net-long Gold prices in over eight months, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment points to further XAU/USD weakness.

US Dollar Shows Signs of Life versus Yen

Retail FX traders have recently sold aggressively into US Dollar strength versus the Japanese Yen, and yet the same positioning data shows traders remain net-long the USD/JPY.

British Pound Once again at Brink - Now What?

Retail FX traders are once again net-short the British Pound versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment points to further British Pound strength.

Signs of Danger - Has Euro Trend Turned?

Retail FX traders remain net-short the Euro versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment broadly points to EUR/USD gains. Yet we have seen a noteworthy shift since las...


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