Christopher Vecchio

Currency Strategist

News events, market reactions, and macro trends.
Christopher Vecchio is a Currency Analyst for He holds a dual Bachelor of Arts degree in Government & Law and Economics from Lafayette College. During his undergraduate program, he gained a strong understanding of fundamental analysis of the foreign exchange markets by examining the interrelationship between geopolitical events, macroeconomic trends, and finance. Christopher also incorporates technical analysis into his research in order paint the most complete picture of what is occurring across various asset classes in the short-term and medium-term.



Positive News Flow Past 24-hours Boosts Risk, Holds Back US Dollar

The three Fed speakers today could pour cold water all over risk assets' 24-hour hot streak.

USDOLLAR Index Tempered as GBP/USD Gains on BOE Brexit Commentary

'To Bremain or to Brexit, that is the question.'

USDOLLAR Index Turns to Fed Speakers for Breakout Catalysts

The US Dollar has gained against three of the four components of the USDOLLAR Index today. Unfortunately for risk assets, USD/JPY's lack of participation is foreboding.

Don’t Be Surprised if You See More of the Same from the Euro

The Euro fell back against the British Pound and the US Dollar last week while gaining broadly elsewhere. Current market trends seem likely to continue going forward.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Dollar Tops Performer List Once Again, Will BoJ Act after G7?

The Dollar has advanced for 3 straight weeks as the freeze from rate skeptics finally thawed. Can the BoJ also regain influence or does it need to take it by force?

3 Things Need to Happen for US Dollar to Cement Breakout

The USDOLLAR Index is holding just south of the trend resistance that has guided price lower since January.

Rising Fed Rate Expectations Cushion US Dollar - What About Risk?

Market expectations for a June rate hike have jumped rapidly after the Fed's April meeting minutes yesterday.

If USD Wants ST Rebound to Become MT Trend, CPI Must Rise

Time for the market to start resolving its dissonance with respect to the Fed's rate hike normalization path.

USDOLLAR Index Softens as Markets Wait for CPI, FOMC Minutes

There's been little net movement in the USDOLLAR Index today, but that'sbecause traders are getting ready for a very important data set release tomrorow.

EUR/USD Continues to Ease Off - Market Least Short Since May 2014

Despite general improvement in European data flow, EUR/USD continued to ease off after better than expected US economic data (and weaker Q1'16 Euro-Zone GDP data). Moving forward, the thinnest market...

Weekly Trading Forecast: Will FX Policy and Global Risk Come Up at G-7

The Dollar has mounted a recover and risk trends have lost traction this past week. Will these themes carry through to the week ahead, and what will the G-7 meeting elicit from speculators?

EUR/USD, GBP/USD Slide as April US Retail Sales Beat Expectations

Consumption data from April points to a strengthening US consumer – the bedrock of the US economy.

USDOLLAR Index Finding Footing - Will Key Data Comply?

The US Dollar continues to make strides against its major counterparts, save the Japanese Yen - which could be troublesome for risk.

BOE’s ’Super Thursday’ Might Not be All that Super for GBP

The BOE will undoubtedly leave rates on hold today at 0.50%, as they have since March 2009. Traders should look beyond the next few weeks for clues.

USD/JPY Gains Continuing but Risk Decoupling - Blame China?

The Japanese Yen is falling rapidly. Yet risk assets aren't responding as one might expect. There may be another force in play...

Risk Rebound Contingent on USD/JPY Rally Continuing

The weaker Yen after Japan's Golden Week is providing relief to risk markets, particularly the German DAX and the US S&P 500.

Euro Lacking Direction as Data Momentum Improves, Brexit Concerns Ebb

Q1’16 growth figures due at the end of the week should garner some attention, but the Euro remains without a sincerely meaningful domestic driver in the short-term.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Dollar Struggles with Recovery, Euro Faces Greece, Pound Awaits BoE

A notable slip in risk trend and rebound from the Dollar this past week has spurred speculation of reversals. However, is there enough fundamental leverage to change the market's tack and develop ser...

US Dollar Rebounds to Trend Resistance Ahead of NFPs

The greenback has had a nice little rebound this week, but any hope of continuation hinges on NFPs tomorrow.

May Seasonality Sees Best Month of Year for USD After April’s Showers

If you hold the axiom, “April showers bring May flowers,” to be true, then you shouldn’t be surprised that a US Dollar bull trend has a chance to blossom after a very weak April.

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