
Expertise
Classic technical analysis, macro and economic themes.
At DailyFX Since: 2014
Trading Style
- Analytical Profile: Technical and Fundamental
- Time Frame: Long-Term (Over 2 Weeks)
- Type: Position
Experience
- Began trading foreign exchange markets in 2016
- Started at DailyFX as an internship during college in 2014
- Hosted seminars, presented at the Chicago TradersEXPO in 2019
- Quoted by publications such as The Telegraph, Yahoo Finance and Nasdaq.com
Education
- Holds a bachelor’s degree cum laude in Economics from San Francisco State University
Most Important Trading Lesson Learned
“A key lesson I developed as a trader is learning to lose gracefully. I always start with proper risk management and exit scenarios before assessing my targets. This helps suppress emotion from one’s strategy when the market inevitably begins moving against you. In the long run, this means winning trades compensate for losing ones and is an important step towards being able to generate returns.”
Recent Articles
Gold Price Extend Losses in the Aftermath of the Fed, XAU/USD Upside Bets Grow
2023-09-21 23:00:00
Japanese Yen Remains at Risk After the Fed, Retail Traders Unwind USD/JPY Bullish Bets
2023-09-21 05:00:00
Gold and Silver After the Fed: XAU/USD, XAG/USD at Risk to Higher Treasury Yields
2023-09-21 00:30:00
Crude Oil Prices Turn Lower, Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern in Focus
2023-09-20 00:30:00
Australian Dollar May Rise as Retail Traders Become More Bearish AUD/USD
2023-09-19 23:00:00

British Pound Technical Update: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP Show that Sterling Remains Pressured
2023-09-19 06:30:00
Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD Flirts Breakout as Retail Traders Turn More Bearish
2023-09-18 23:00:00

Markets Week Ahead: US Dollar, Fed, Sterling, BoE, Japanese Yen, BoJ and More
2023-09-17 16:00:00
Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY Exchange Rates in Focus
2023-09-16 22:00:00

Gold and Silver Technical Update: XAU August Swing Low Nears, XAG Faces 2022 Trendline
2023-09-15 00:30:00
Euro Sets Stage for Longest Weekly Losing Streak Since 1997, Retail Traders Still Bullish
2023-09-14 23:00:00
Japanese Yen Technical Update: USD/JPY Levelling off, Will NZD/JPY Reverse Higher?
2023-09-14 05:00:00

British Pound Stabilizes as Retail Traders Slowly Increase Bearish GBP/USD Exposure
2023-09-13 23:00:00
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Momentum Fading, AUD/JPY Triangle Breakout Next?
2023-09-13 05:00:00
Crude Oil Price Outlook: WTI Soars to Resistance as Retail Traders Become More Bearish
2023-09-12 23:00:00
Recent tweets

*That should start with "A..." instead of "An...". Don't have Twitter blue so I can't edit and I am not reposting this thread lol

(6/6): Yes, there are a whole lot of factors that go into NFP real estate
And we are not considering those here
But just on this data alone, there is not a single quarter (from Q4 2023 - Q1 2025) where the baseline estimate is either jobs growth or unchanged
Food for thought! https://t.co/wx3nfkvT97


(5/6): And this is what it looks like if we try modeling NFP real estate using home sales from 1.5 years ago
Again, at 44% explanatory power, it's not perfect, but at the same time, I think it is worth paying attention to, especially considering it's just 1 variable https://t.co/9rYrj6y1zH


(4/6): That brings us to this chart
This is the same chart from the first thread, but now I overlaid home sales from 6 quarters ago versus current real estate payrolls
As you can see, this is what I mean by a positive relationship
One goes up, the other follows and vice versa https://t.co/LrXaOtQEH4


(3/6): Well, if we compare housing jobs to where existing home sales were 6 quarters ago (that's right, 1.5 years ago), the picture looks a lot different
While not perfect, it's decently positive
About 44% of the variation in NFP real estate can be explained by the lag in sales https://t.co/KYcq5nWgFZ


(2/6): It starts with this,
The relationship b/w new & existing single-family home sales and NFP real estate payrolls
(both expressed quarterly, change from a year ago)
This is data going back to the beginning of 2000
As you can see, not a very clear relationship b/w the 2 https://t.co/2PuO1so12H

