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Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD Resilience Holds at Nine-Month High

Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD Resilience Holds at Nine-Month High

Tammy Da Costa, Analyst
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Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Technical Outlook: Neutral

  • Gold prices bullish above $1,930, bearish below $1,900.
  • XAU/USD peaks at nine-month high as the RSI (relative strength index) rises into overbought territory.
  • USD strength and slowing momentum could place pressure on the upside move.
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Gold prices endure after bullish recovery drives XAU/USD to a nine-month high

Gold prices ended the week marginally higher after a slight uptick in the Dollar limited gains above $1,930. Although a break of the $1,900 psychological level assisted in driving XAU/USD to a nine-month high of $1,939 in Friday’s session, technical indicators suggest that bullish momentum could be losing steam.

With prices falling back into a narrow range of support and resistance, the formation of a doji candle on the daily chart could be suggestive of indecision. While buyers aim to regain confidence above $1,930, sellers are determined to drive prices lower.

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Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart

Chart, histogram  Description automatically generated

Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

As the rising trendline from the October low remains intact, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2022 move has formed an additional barrier of support around $1,903. With gold prices recovering over 19% of last year’s losses, the three-month rally has driven the daily RSI (relative strength index) into overbought territory.

From the perspective of the weekly chart, a longer lower wick on the current candle represents a strong retaliation from sellers. After falling to a weekly low of $1,898.6, the quick reaction from and a move above $1,900 helped limit further declines.

Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Chart

Chart  Description automatically generated

Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

While Fibonacci levels of the 2018 – 2020 move provides longer-term support and resistance between $1,871 (the 23.6%) and $1,956 (14.4%), a clear break of $1,939 could assist in driving higher prices.

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--- Written by Tammy Da Costa, Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Tammy on Twitter: @Tams707

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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