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NFP prints at 339k vs estimates of 190k, ave earnings in line at 0.3% MoM

NZD/USD IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short NZD/USD for the first time since Mar 17, 2023 when NZD/USD traded near 0.63.

NZD/USD IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short NZD/USD for the first time since Mar 17, 2023 when NZD/USD traded near 0.63.

Research, Research Team
NZD/USD Client Positioning

Number of traders net-short has increased by 46.11% from last week.

SYMBOLTRADING BIASNET-LONG%NET-SHORT%CHANGE IN LONGSCHANGE IN SHORTSCHANGE IN OI
NZD/USDBULLISH48.09%51.91%

-0.44% Daily

-26.62% Weekly

7.49% Daily

46.11% Weekly

3.52% Daily

-1.05% Weekly

NZD/USD Bullish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -13% -3% -11%
Weekly -22% 23% -12%
What could changes and extremes in retail trading signal for the market?
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NZD/USD: Retail trader data shows 48.09% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.08 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Mar 17 when NZD/USD traded near 0.63, price has moved 1.37% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.44% lower than yesterday and 26.62% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 7.49% higher than yesterday and 46.11% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests NZD/USD prices may continue to rise.

Our data shows traders are now net-short NZD/USD for the first time since Mar 17, 2023 when NZD/USD traded near 0.63. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger NZD/USD-bullish contrarian trading bias.

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