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British Pound: Bullish Short Term Pattern

Wednesday, 06 February 2008 18:10:08 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency Strategist

The pattern that we think is unfolidng indicates that the GBPUSD could test 1.9800 as early as this week.  Reinforcing this idea is from a Fibonacci level this morning's low at 1.9552.

 

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The rally from 1.9337 to 1.9957 is a 5 wave advance and is probably wave A within the A-B-C corrective rally. Wave B is underway now and is probably at its midpoint. The drop from 1.9957 is in 5 waves, therefore, expect a rally in wave b of B that challenges at least structural resistance at 1.9787 over the next few days before a decline in wave c of B completes wave B.

 

Realize that this is a VERY dangerous trade given the BOE rate announcement tommorow.

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