Indeed, Mr. Trichet said that "risks to price stability have increased further" and that the ECB is in a state of "hightened alertness," which is a new phrase that we haven't seen in his commentary. Furthermore, despite recent declines in various measures of Euro-zone services and manufacturing sector growth, Mr. Trichet called the economic fundamentals "sound." In fact, the ECB is a bit more optimistic on economic prospects for the region, as 2008 growth forecasts were revised up to 1.5% - 2.1%, from 1.3% - 2.1%. On the other hand, the ECB foresees a slowing in the economy in the longer-term, as they revised their 2009 forecasts down tp 1.0% - 2.0% from 1.3% - 2.3%. Overall, it is clear that the ECB has absolutely no intention of cutting rates this year, and in fact, Mr. Trichet said during the Q&A session that there is some potential that the central bank will raise rates next month.
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

