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Forex Short-Term Technical Outlook: GBP/JPY (update)

Wednesday, 10 September 2008 11:27:07 GMT

Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

The GBPJPY continues to face heavy selling pressures after gapping to the upside earlier this week.

Currency Pair: GBP/JPY
Short-Term Bias: Short
Chart: 15 Min Charts

Analysis Update

GBPJPY2_9-9

After breaking above the channel during the last few hours of trading, the GBPJPY has failed to move above 190.00, and has moved back to hold at the top of the channel. We expect the downward momentum to lead the pair towards the lower end of the channel, and expect the pound-yen to test 185.00 for support over the coming weeks. However, the fundamental event risks scheduled for the next 24 hours may call for a change in our outlook.

 

Analysis

GBPJPY1_9-10

The GBPJPY continues to face heavy selling pressures after gapping to the upside earlier this week. After failing to break above 196.00 on Sunday evening, price action has moved back within the channel to move along the 120 SMA.

The pound-yen has found near-term resistance around 191.87 (21.4% Fib level of 185.50-215.65), and continues to hold near the top of the channel. We expect the pound to face further selling pressures which could bring the pair below 185.50 over the coming weeks. We anticipate the GBPJPY to move within the channel for now, but may hold its current range between 187.50 and 192.25. Be sure to check out Jamie’s Technical Outlook for additional information on the major currency pairs.


To contact the author of this article, please email: dsong@fxcm.com

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