§
News that
explosives have been found, in a car parked in the city of
§
Even so,
we did 3 profitable trades out of five and our portfolio accumulated nearly $120
on interest during the week.
§
Once
again, the most profitable trade we took was the long position in the sterling.
§
On the
other hand, our biggest loss was taken in the Swiss franc after hawkish comments
from SNB President Roth changed the interest rate outlook for the Swiss
economy.
§ The portfolio remains well balanced and no changes were done in the components of the dynamic carry trade basket.
What Are We Currently
Long?
AUD/USD
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
USD/HKD
USD/JPY
Changes Since last
week
On 6/15/2007, we closed a long
position in the

Additional Information
In an ever changing world, making
profitable carry trades* (definition below) are not as easy as they use to
be. Therefore we have created a
dynamic carry basket that changes when the monetary policy outlook for a central
bank changes or if there is significant event risk ahead. Follow the performance of the DailyFX
Dynamic Carry Trade Basket
What is Carry
Trade
All that is needed to understand the
carry trade concept is a basic knowledge of foreign exchange and interest rates
differentials. Money shifts from around the world in seek of the highest yield
and the benefit of trading currencies is that you are dealing with countries
that have interest rates, which are charged or received every single day. If you
are positioned on the side of positive carry, you have the right to earn that
interest, which can be quite lucrative over time.
Protective
Stop-Loss
Substantial gains made from interest
rate differentials provide undeniable evidence that the carry trade strategy has
been very successful over the past few years. Still, this strategy involves
significant risks and an adequate protective stop is required. We are using a
protective stop-loss equivalent to five times the average true range.
Position
Sizing
Our position size varies according to
each currency volatility. Generally, the more volatile the currency is, the
fewer lots we trade. For example, let's assume you have $10,000 and you are
trading 10K lots, you decide to limit your risk per trade to 3% or $300 and the
90 days average true range for the EURUSD is 100 pips. In this case, if you go
long EUR/USD you could buy 3 lots, since ($10000 * 3%) divided by (0.0100*10K) =
3 lots. In case the final result is not an integer you should always rounded it
down to limit your exposure.