US initial jobless claims fell to 478K during the week of October 4 from an upwardly revised 498K, however, a deeper look at the data is far from optimistic. First, the 4-week moving average of initial jobless claims (which helps to smooth out the volatility associated with the week-to-week figures) jumped to 482.5K from 474.25K, marking the highest reading since at least January 2002. Furthermore, continuing claims surged to 3659K from 3603K, which is the worst reading since June 2003 when the unemployment rate was at 6.3 percent. The latest labor market reports show the unemployment rate sitting at 6.1 percent as of September, but with job losses mounting and the US economy still in the process of slowing, the readings suggest that jobless claims may climb much higher through the end of the year.
The US dollar has shown little response to these release, as risk trends remain the dominant theme in the forex markets.
US Continuing Jobless Claims (Weekly)

Source: Bloomberg