Following the Bank of England's quarterly Inflation Report, in which they revised both their growth and inflation forecasts signficantly lower, Credit Suisse overnight index swaps have shifted to almost fully price in a 50bp rate cut by the BOE during their next meeting on December 4. Indeed, following the release of the Report, BOE Governor Mervyn King said that interest rates could fall much lower from current levels, and declined to rule out cutting rates to zero. This has exerted bearish pressures on the British pound, and is likely to continue doing so as long as risk aversion remains high and as the BOE maintains its dovish bias.

Source: Bloomberg