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German Producer Prices Fall, Raising Expectations for ECB Rate Cut
Thursday, 20 November 2008 06:17:54 GMT  |  DailyFX Research
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German October PPI 0.0% m/m, 7.8% y/y, down from 8.3% y/y in September. This was much higher than expectations for a decline in the annual rate to 7.1% y/y. Energy prices actually rose 0.6% m/m in October, with prices up 22.4% y/y, despite lower oil prices. The main culprit are gas prices, which rose a staggering 39.8% y/y in October and explain around a quarter of the overall rise in prices. Prices for oil products on the other hand dropped 8.4% m/m, bringing the annual rate down to a relatively modest 6% y/y. Producer prices are not coming down as fast as hoped for in the light of sharply lower oil prices, and the elevated annual rate points to lingering inflation pressures.

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