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Credit Markets Thawing as Default Risk Falls

Tuesday, 14 October 2008 22:01:45 GMT

Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst

Global lending conditions have started to noticeably improve as the “Ted” spread*, a common default risk gauge, has fallen -5.93% in the past two days having set an all-time record high just last Friday. That said, the magnitude of this pullback thus far may still fall in the realm of a correction (as seen on several occasions along the way higher starting in mid-September). The Ted spread is defined as the price difference between short-term futures on US Treasury bonds and overseas USD-denominated deposits (commonly called "Eurodollars").

Ted Spread:

10-14-08 ted
Source: Bloomberg

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