
US Senate Looks At China Bill
Speculation churned well
ahead of the US Treasury Department report early this morning in New York.
Although expectations were high, the report was well in line with more
conservative market proponents as policy officials steered clear of labeling
China a currency manipulator. However, the report did continue to note
that further revaluation is needed in the Chinese currency as the yuan continues
to remain “undervalued” by most estimates. Subsequently, treasury
officials reassured its staunch view of further flexibility in the country’s
exchange rate regime, hopefully working towards a more fundamentally valued
currency. Comparatively, however, the US legislation that was handed down
in the afternoon took a more aggressive tone. Scheduled for well into the
New York session, US lawmakers sought to bring life to a bill that would
heighten tensions between the two trade partners, and draw slight similarities
to a parallel bill that was supported last year. According to the bill,
the US Treasury would be able to identify when a country’s currency was
“fundamentally misaligned”, thus targeting that party for retaliatory action by
the World Trade Organization. Incidentally, the bill is being submitted as
a potential spark to get the ball rolling on further revaluation efforts by the
Chinese. Taken as a threat, Chinese Ambassador Zhou Wenzhong stated that
the decision would ultimately “hurt opportunities for healthy business
activities between China and the United States.” Bidders were on the
Chinese yuan side, nonetheless, helping it to trade higher against the dollar at
7.6370.
Retail Sales Surge In China For The Month
Sales of
consumer goods in the Chinese economy surged ahead to the fastest pace in three
years for the month of May. Bolstered by rising incomes in the world’s
fastest growing economy and a record acceleration in stock prices, consumers are
openly more willing to adhere to spending habits than before. The penchant
for consumption racked up 715.8 billion yuan in sales, rising 15.9 percent
compared to the year earlier report. The figure, well above the 15.5
percent witnessed in April, is likely to stir inflationary pressures higher and
purport higher benchmark interest rates as central bankers remain concerned
about an overheating economy. The fear is justified as China is forecasted
to overtake Japan as the world’s second largest consumer goods market in the
next three years.
China Fund Speculated To Look To Natural Resources
With
the Chinese government establishing its own mega fund, estimated to be founded
on $200 billion, speculation has emerged of possible transactions involving
natural resource providers in the near term. One such company that is
rumored to be targeted is BHP Billiton. Capitalized at around A$110
billion, the potential would be for the Chinese economy to have access to better
commodity prices in it ownership of a major global producer. However, the
concern is that the reality may skew not only commodity prices but falsely boost
other equity valuations in hopes of a buyout situation.
Market Declines Buck Uptrend In Regional Markets
Asia
regional stock market declined on the day, bucking short term trends that helped
equities rebound from a relatively negative week previously. In Singapore,
weakness in equity was seen as US bond yields vaulted to a five year high,
purporting speculation that rate hikes may be in the cards for the end of the
year in the world’s largest economy. As a result, companies like Singapore
Telecommunications and Singapore Exchange Ltd. led declines on the day, with
losses limited by positive news involving Fraser and Neave Ltd.
Ultimately, the Straits Times Index slid 10.32 points to close at
3,551.22. Hong Kong stocks didn’t fare any better with overall rate
concerns. The Hang Seng Index dropped 57.64 points to close at 20,578.75
in the overnight.
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