|
Currency |
Daily Percentage Change
(%) |
Intraday
High |
Intraday
Low |
Day's Range
(pips) |
|
CADJPY |
-0.3% |
105.73 |
105.01 |
72 |
|
USDCAD |
+0.3% |
1.1387 |
1.1325 |
62 |
AUDCAD |
-0.2% |
0.8481 |
0.8418 |
63 |
Canadian dollar selling continued
against the Japanese yen in the overnight following yesterday’s decline through
key technical levels. Assisting in
the decline were better than expected machine tool orders report from the
world’s second largest economy.
Expected to rise incrementally, the report bested consensus estimates
rising 5.3 percent in the month of September. Although not an all out reliable report
on exports, the survey does continue the string of economic reports that have
purported the notion of growth and expansion in the economy. Additionally lending to some yen
strength were lower crude oil contracts on the NYMEX. Trading through the key $59 and $58 a
barrel support figures, the contract looks to have plenty of bearishness behind,
even subsequent to the release this morning of an imminent production cut by
OPEC nations. In order to stabilize
prices and keep a fair price in the market, officials decided to cut production
by 1 million barrels a day.
However, after the initial flurry, it became apparent to the market that
a production cut at this point may not be as effective with global supply
mounting on unused portions on summer estimates. As a result, lower prices are likely to
hamper exporting countries including
USDCAD
The dollar received some good news on the day following
the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes. Although paring back suddenly on a
potential terrorist threat in
Consolidating currently, the USDCAD currency pair is
setup for a pullback in the Asian session with traders seeing some
overextension. Both Stochastic and
MACD are showing a bearish divergence on the 60-minute was offers lie just short
of the 1.1400 figure. The sentiment
is likely to shift gears for the pair, taking a bearish advance lower to the
1.1314 figure (23.6 percent fib from the 9/28-10/11 bull wave) with capping
likely not seen till around the 1.1237.
However, the pullback would be temporary as the price action has broken
to the topside resistance on the daily chart at 1.1300 as bulls continue to set
up for a retest of the 1.1500.
Pressuring the
AUDCAD currency pair in the
The day’s
advance compares to what would have been an Australian dollar led day following
comments by newly appointed Reserve Bank of
Testing the
channel trendline support, the AUDCAD is expected to consolidate heading into
the Asian hours. The current
support correlates with support at the 0.8441 figure (23.6 percent fib from the
day’s move higher). With stochastic
already dipping well below the overbought level, favor is siding with a topside
advance as bulls continue to eye the even 8500 handle. However, failure here would give bears
enough reason to pounce till support floors are established at the 0.8393 floor
(61.8 percent fib from the session
advance).