The pound strengthened in early European trade Thursday, despite having only
one economic release. The jump above 1.8400 followed yesterday's
substantial drop to a low of 1.8309 following the release of the US trade
deficit, which showed only a modest increase. The retracement of some
losses today came before the release of the BCC Second Quarter Economic
Survey. Cable was relatively unaffected by global uncertainty, despite oil
reaching a new high above $75 in New York on Nigerian turmoil, and Israel
launching attacks against a Beruit airfield. On tap at 10:30 are two late
announcements out of Britain. The Leading Indicator Index for May and the
Coincident Indicator Index are not expected to show major differences from their
respective 0.6% and 0.2% readings in April. As of 10:05 GMT GBP/USD traded
at 1.8376, up from Wednesday's New York close of 1.8339.
The FTSE 100 was down 0.8% at 5,811.8 amid worries
over violence in the Middle East after Israeli aircraft attacked Beirut
airport. The FTSE 250 fell 0.9% to 9,274.5, led lower by Emap which was
hit by a disappointing trading update. However, insurers were in focus in
early trade in London on Thursday after Aviva unveiled a $2.9bn cash offer for
US life insurer AmerUS. The UK insurer fell 1.1% to 705p amid concern that
the low premium offered could attract a counter-bid from a rival. Old
Mutual was down 1.8% at 160¾p and Friends Provident fell 1% to 180¼p, as the
wider market retreated amid escalating violence in the Middle-East and ongoing
geopolitical tensions. Oil prices rose sharply to trade back above the $75
level, sending shares in transport stocks lower. Cruise-ship operator
Carnival was hit by the price rise falling 3.3% to £21.16 while British Airways
was down by 1.5% to 357p. The heavyweight mining sector gave up recent
gains as copper prices eased off six-week highs. Kazakhmys lost 3% to
£12.00, Antofagasta fell 2.6% to 433½p and Vedanta Resources was off 2.3% at
£13.77. Adam Broadbent, Emap’s chairman, said that while trading in the
first two months of the financial year was in line with expectations, “the
trends that are now emerging make us more cautious about the prospects for
underlying revenue, which may be marginally down in the first half”. The
media group’s shares fell 9.3% to 759p.
Ten year gilt yields were down four basis points to 4.614% as prices hit
95.060.