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Forex Traders Remain Heavily Long the USD/JPY – Losses Likely
Thursday, 12 February 2009 13:41:13 GMT  |  David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst
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USD/JPY ratio: 1.49
Trading Forecast: Bearish

US Dollar/Japanese Yen

USDJPY – Our contrarian forex trading strategies continue to sell the US Dollar/Japanese Yen currency pair, as forex trading crowds remain very bullish the USD/JPY. In fact, the ratio of long to short positions stands at 1.49 as 60 percent of traders are currently long. A 33 percent overnight jump in long positions signals that sentiment has become increasingly one-sided. Yet short positions are 19.3 percent higher—moderating our bias. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses, but we would ideally see more aggressive USD/JPY buying to forcefully call for subsequent declines.

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