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Japanese Yen May Reverse on Sentiment Shift
Thursday, 05 March 2009 13:43:37 GMT  |  David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst
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USD/JPY ratio: 1.00
Trading Forecast: Bearish

US Dollar/Japanese Yen

USDJPY – Our contrarian forex trading strategies recently closed their USD/JPY long positions, as forex sentiment highlights risks of a near-term reversal. Forex positioning is currently balanced on the USD/JPY, as an equal number of traders are currently long and short the pair. This represents a clear shift from recent price action, when traders aggressively sold the USD/JPY into impressive rallies. In detail, long positions are 26.4% higher than yesterday and 15.0% stronger since last week. Short positions are 9.8% higher than yesterday and 41.8% stronger since last week. Open interest is 17.5% stronger than yesterday and 2.0% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator, and the recent jump in USD/JPY long positions warns of a potential short-term reversal.

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