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Japanese Yen Expected to Recover Versus US Dollar
Thursday, 09 April 2009 15:42:50 GMT  |  David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist
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USD/JPY ratio: 1.03
Trading Forecast: Bearish

040909_ssi_3

USDJPY – Our contrarian forex trading strategies remain short the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen, as forex sentiment highlights risks of further USD/JPY weakness. The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.03 as nearly 51% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.22 as 55% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 14.0% higher than yesterday and 15.1% stronger since last week. Short positions are 9.3% lower than yesterday and 16.7% stronger since last week. Open interest is 1.2% stronger than yesterday and 11.6% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses. Such analysis lines up nicely with Forex Futures data, which shows that the USD/JPY may decline through the medium term.

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