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Japanese Yen Outlook Shifts on Major Price Moves
Thursday, 30 April 2009 14:26:38 GMT  |  David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist
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USD/JPY ratio: 1.24
Trading Forecast: Bearish

04-30-09_ssi_3

USDJPY – Our contrarian forex trading strategies recently took profits on US Dollar/Japanese Yen short positions, and more recent bounces have brought about a shift in sentiment forecasts. The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.24 as nearly 55% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.74 as 64% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 15.7% lower than yesterday and 29.5% stronger since last week. Short positions are 18.5% higher than yesterday and 4.8% stronger since last week. Open interest is 3.2% weaker than yesterday and 14.3% above its monthly average. The net-long ratio gives us an ostensibly bearish bias, but the recent shift in favor of USD/JPY short positions suggests further gains are more likely.

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