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A USDJPY Breakdown Encourages Speculators To Fight The Trend
Thursday, 17 July 2008 13:57:55 GMT
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Previous articles
Previous Articles
Aug 21 -
Currency Traders Accurately Signal Japanese Yen Gains
Aug 14 -
Currency Traders Signal USDJPY May Decline Before Further Gains
Aug 11 -
Currency Traders Sell US Dollars Against Yen
Aug 01 -
Steady USDJPY Short Interest May Portend A Break Of 108.50
Jul 17 -
A USDJPY Breakdown Encourages Speculators To Fight The Trend
Jul 11 -
Positioning In USDJPY Falls Back To Parity As Speculators Await A Breakout
Jul 03 -
A Flip In USDJPY Positioning Suggests The Rally May Be Coming To An End
Jun 26 -
USDJPY Sentiment Points To Further Upside, Though Momentum Fading
Jun 19 -
Speculative Interest In USDJPY Jumps As SSI Points To Further Gains
Jun 12 -
A Directional Break Leads USDJPY SSI To Extreme
Jun 05 -
USDJPY Flirts With A Major Breakout As Positioning Grows Extreme
May 29 -
USDJPY Positioning Takes A Bias, Points To Upside Breakout
May 22 -
USDJPY Open Interest Plunges As Pair Maintains Congestion
May 15 -
Growing USDJPY Shorts And Open Interest Build For Breakout
May 08 -
Traders Split On USDJPY As Pair Consolidates
May 01 -
USDJPY Steady Advance Supported By Modest SSI Reading
Apr 24 -
Contrarian Reading Points To Stronger USDJPY Advance
Apr 17 -
Yen Traders Take On Shorts As USDJPY Shows Upside Potential
Apr 03 -
Yen Sentiment Flips After USDJPY Rises Above 100
Mar 27 -
Yen Positioning Cools For A Second Week
Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Analyst
USD/JPY
Ratio: 1.01
Signal: Bearish
USDJPY
– A notable break in a medium-term USDJPY trend has led to a flip in speculative positioning as the often counter-trend retail community looks to fight the developing trend. With a break in the rising trend from April, the Speculative Sentiment Index jumped to 1.38 from the near-parity reading of 1.01 last week. In fact, the net positive figures from last week are the most extreme since March when the pair marked its major reversal from 12-year lows. The details of the report reflect a retail group that is betting on a return to the bullish trend. From the report’s details, long trades slipped 0.6% in the last 24 hours but surged 43.4% from last week. At the same time, shorts are up 0.7% on the day and only 6.2% lower on the week. The heavy activity on only one side of the market has shown through in open interest. Net positioning grew 18.4% over the week and is 18.1% above the monthly average. As a contrarian indicator, the SSI is suggesting the recent downside break is developing into a potential trend change.
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