JAPAN NEWS HEADLINES:
- “Monthly economic report
maintains the view that the Japanese economy is staging a ‘recovery’, despite
0.2 percent monthly decline in industrial production in certain sectors.”
http://mdn.mainichi-msn.co.jp/business/news/20070618p2g00m0bu025000c.html
Source:
Mainichi Daily News
- “Estimate of first quarter output gap has been revised upwards to 0.9
percent, the highest since Q1 1992, suggesting the Japanese economy may finally
be recovering from years of deflationary conditions.”
http://www.reuters.com/article/companyNewsAndPR/idUST8310720070618
Source:
Reuters
- “Bank of Japan governor Fukui expresses intention to review further
economic data before taking steps to tighten monetary policy, suggesting
possible interest rate hike may come later than expected.”
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118211613693438301.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Source:
WSJ
JAPAN MARKET ACTIVITY:
Currency Markets – USD/JPY:
Bank of Japan’s decision on
Friday to maintain interest rate at 0.5 percent –the lowest among major
developed economies – has eroded the value of the Japanese yen against most
majors. As interest rate differentials spur carry trades between higher-yielding
currencies and the low-yielding yen, the yen has weakened against all 16
most-actively traded currencies since the beginning of the year. The yen fell to
a record low of 165.78 against the euro, a 15-year low of 245.15 per pound, and
sank to a near four year low against the US dollar to close at
123.62.
USD/JPY (Daily, 12/18/06 –
06/18/07)
Equity Markets – Nikkei 225 Index:
The Nikkei 225 Stock
Average closed at 18,149.52, up 178.03 points, or 0.99 percent, the second
highest closing in nearly four months. The booming performance of the Japanese
equity markets stems from release of data about lower-than-expected US core
consumer price inflation and export demand is expected to get a boost from the
continual decline of the yen versus the US dollar. Leading the gains were
automakers such as Toyota Corp. as share price peaked 0.5 percent to 7,730 yen,
the highest level since March 2007. Stocks of exporters of high-tech equipment
also made significant gains with Canon Inc recording the largest monthly gain of
2.1 percent to close at 7,330 yen.
Nikkei 225 Index
(Daily, 12/18/06 – 06/18/07)
Fixed-Income Markets – Japanese 10 year Government Bond
Futures:
Government bond yields continued to decline for third
straight day, closing at 1.89, down 2.5 basis points. Bond prices recorded the
largest gain in four weeks on Friday after Bank of Japan Governor Fukui
indicated that several economic factors need to be examined before implementing
an interest rate hike. Since US core consumer price inflation grew at a
lower-than-expected rate of 0.1 percent in May, expectations of an interest rate
increase by the Federal Reserve have receded and in turn helped Japanese bonds
retain their appeal versus US treasuries.
Japanese
Government Bonds (Daily, 06/05/07 – 06/15/07)