Rising risk aversion has led to broad based weakness in carry trades.
The market is growing more concerned about the financial sector with the latest speculation being focused on Mizuho Financial Group in Japan who could be delaying their brokerage merger because of sub-prime losses. The spread between Junk rated corporate bonds and US Treasuries rose beyond its August high when risk aversion was already very severe. Given that the Dow closed at its session lows, we expect follow through weakness in the Yen crosses at the open of Tokyo trading on Sunday. GDP, CGPI and the Current account are due for release, which we expect to be yen positive.