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USDJPY Takes Aim at 105

Tuesday, 13 May 2008 22:12:19 GMT

Written by Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist

Despite today’s drop in US stocks, Japanese Yen crosses continued to edge higher.

USD/JPY took a stab at hitting 105, stopping short of that psychologically significant resistance level by a mere 10 pips.  The rally in the dollar and the drop in gold prices suggest that the market’s risk appetite is improving.  The VIX, which is a measure of equity market volatility actually dropped to the lowest level since October 2007.  Carry trades thrive in low volatility environments which is a big reason why the yen crosses have been rebounding.  105 could be difficult for USD/JPY to break, especially if volatility reverts back to more normal conditions and the markets suddenly become risk averse once again.

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