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COT 11/29

Thursday, 29 November 2007 16:40:33 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Currency Analyst

JPY Signal: 100% Bearish

COTJPY_11-29

JPY: Positioning on the Japanese Yen is understandably similar to that of the Swiss Franc, with recent 2-year lows in the USDJPY coinciding with relative extremes in speculative positioning. Traders are the most net-short the USDJPY since 2006, at which point the USDJPY posted a substantive reversal from 108.98 onto a virtually uninhibited rally to 116.57. Though we remind traders that positioning can remain extreme for weeks at a time, risks remain for a subsequent USDJPY correction.

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