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British Pound Technical Outlook

Monday, 05 May 2008 14:15:30 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Currency Analyst

We are treating the drop from 2.0396 as a leading diagonal (wave 1 of C within the A-B-C decline from 2.1160).  Under this interpretation, the GBPUSD rally from 1.9599 is wave 2 within the 5 wave drop (wave C) from 2.0396. 

However, the decline from 2.0025 is choppy and may be a correction.  Until proven wrong (which requires a rally through 1.9909), we are sticking with the bearish bias.  A resistance line from mid-March has held and keeps bears in control. 

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